SFS Cavalcade North America 2026
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia
May 18-21, 2026
Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 18th Apr 2026, 05:20:29am EDT
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Agenda Overview |
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Track W7-5: Asset Pricing: Credit and Derivatives
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| Presentations | ||
Which market leads price discovery? New conclusions from a new test Copenhagen Business School We show that the standard Granger causality test for assessing informational efficiency between financial markets is misspecified in the presence of market-microstructure noise, a pervasive feature of financial data. Although the test remains statistically valid, its economic interpretation is flawed: predictability from microstructure noise is misread as information flow. We propose a new test robust to such noise and apply it to credit markets, overturning established results. The corporate bond market, not the CDS market, leads in price discovery; there is no evidence of insider trading in CDS; and bond transactions contain more timely information than quotes.
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