SFS Cavalcade North America 2026
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia
May 18-21, 2026
Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 18th Apr 2026, 05:01:41am EDT
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Agenda Overview |
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Track W1-2: Government Policies and Financial Markets
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Fiscal Redistribution Risk in Treasury Markets 1London business school; 2Stanford University, United States; 3Federal Reserve Board Unfunded fiscal expansions are a significant source of risk premia in Treasury markets when central banks and governments subsidize taxpayers at the expense of devaluing bondholders' returns through inflationary finance. We formalize this redistribution mechanism in a two-agent model that features limited asset market participation and monetary-fiscal interactions. A fiscally-led policy regime reduces bond returns in response to surprise fiscal expansions, while the redistribution effects from asset holders to hand-to-mouth agents increase the pricing kernel, making government bonds a risky asset. This fiscal redistribution risk mechanism generates sizable nominal term premia in a calibrated New Keynesian framework with partially-funded spending.
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