SFS Cavalcade North America 2026
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia
May 18-21, 2026
Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 18th Apr 2026, 05:19:34am EDT
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Agenda Overview |
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Track T8-4: Flows, Prices, and Institutional Investors
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Persistence in Alphas without Persistence in Skill 1Northern Illinois University; 2Dartmouth College, NBER, Kepos Capital The persistence of mutual fund alphas is often viewed as evidence that some funds possess skill and that this skill persists. This interpretation is unwarranted when security factor lines are too flat. A sort on estimated alphas is a sort against betas: high-alpha funds are predominantly low-beta funds and vice versa. Thus, a strategy of investing in high-alpha funds benefits not from skill, but from a betting-against-multiple-betas effect. In-sample tests intended to separate luck from skill are similarly biased. We demonstrate this bias through simulations and show that applying a correction factor eliminates much of the apparent skill in mutual fund data.
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