SFS Cavalcade North America 2026
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia
May 18-21, 2026
Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 18th June 2026, 05:27:29pm EDT
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Daily Overview |
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Track TH7-4: Learning, Beliefs, and Disagreement
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The Market’s Mirror: Revealing Investor Disagreement with LLMs 1George Washington University; 2Penn State University; 3Indiana University Large language models (LLMs) can emulate human perspectives. Leveraging this idea, we study how investor disagreement emerges in response to firm news. We endow an LLM with 216 representative investor personas and elicit buy, hold, or sell responses to S&P 500 firm news headlines from 2022-2025. Dispersion in responses yields article-level disagreement for 1.25 million headlines and sheds light on its sources. Disagreement is highest for socially-oriented news and lowest for fundamentals. Persona responses reflect non-pecuniary rationales and align with human-survey benchmarks. Disagreement predicts elevated same and next-day abnormal trading volume, especially retail, and results persist beyond the LLM’s training cutoff.
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