SFS Cavalcade North America 2026
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia
May 18-21, 2026
Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 18th Apr 2026, 05:19:23am EDT
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Agenda Overview |
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Track T3-3: Asset Pricing: Theory
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A Theory of Speculation on Token-Based Platform UT Austin We study a token-based platform where users choose between adopting the platform’s service and speculating on its native token. While both adopters and speculators earn the token’s capital gain, adopters also incur a participation cost to obtain a noisy service benefit enhanced by network effects. This tension between adoption and speculation can suppress participation, halt learning, and trigger collapse even when expected fundamentals are strong. We characterize the participation threshold, show how token-price volatility expands the collapse region, and identify the resulting learning traps. The model implies that inflation and adopter-targeted incentives support participation, whereas subsidies to speculators increase fragility.
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