SFS Cavalcade North America 2026
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia
May 18-21, 2026
Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 18th Apr 2026, 05:22:20am EDT
|
Agenda Overview |
| Session | ||
Track W2-2: Household Finance and Retirement Behavior
| ||
| Presentations | ||
Expense Shocks Matter CFPB (personal capacity) Income shocks are widely studied, but expense shocks are usually neglected in modern consumption-savings models. We use a survey linked to credit bureau records to estimate expense shocks’ frequency, size, and financial implications. Expense shocks are more frequent and larger than income shocks. Very large expense shocks are several times more common than very large income drops. When we account for this additional risk in a standard model, our estimates imply: (1) many costly decisions such as loan defaults are driven not by strategic considerations but by expense shocks, (2) smooth consumption implies a lack of liquidity, not an abundance of it, (3) expense shocks explain most precautionary wealth, and (4) expense shocks are more important than income shocks for studying the marginal propensity to consume. Our results and publicly available data allow researchers to account for expense shocks.
| ||

