SFS Cavalcade North America 2026
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia
May 18-21, 2026
Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 18th Apr 2026, 05:20:30am EDT
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Agenda Overview |
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Track T6-1: Monetary Policy
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Monetary Policy and Investment Plans 1University of Chicago Booth School of Business; 2MIT Sloan School of Management We explore how monetary policy affects corporate investment decisions, and why there are long and variable lags in transmission. To do so, we hand-collect a firm-level dataset of U.S. investment plans and link it to managers’ cash-flow expectations. We first document new facts about investment plans. Firms' investment plans are persistent, and the initial plan explains most of the variation in realized investment. However, firms immediately update investment plans and earnings expectations in response to monetary policy shocks. We find a stronger effect on long-horizon plans than short-horizon plans. Plans for new and expansionary projects respond more to monetary policy than plans related to ongoing projects. These results help to explain the "long and variable" lags in monetary policy transmission. Regarding transmission mechanisms, we document a financing-cost channel, where policy-driven increases in borrowing costs reduce planned investment.
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