SFS Cavalcade North America 2026
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia
May 18-21, 2026
Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 18th Apr 2026, 05:19:34am EDT
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Agenda Overview |
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Track T3-2: Asset Pricing: Theory
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| Presentations | ||
Buy High, Cry Later: Beliefs-driven Cycles of Stock Market Participation BI Norwegian Business School We show that stock market participants are optimists, while exit coincides with a deterioration in beliefs. Accordingly, belief-cycles drive participation-cycles in our model: Inexperienced cohorts enter with high leverage during episodes of market exuberance and low risk premia and exit during market downturns. In equilibrium, experienced cohorts typically remain participants throughout as the market clearing risk premium tends to gravitate towards their beliefs. These interactions generate procyclical participation, feedback between participation and experience-based learning, and welfare losses. Feeding the model with realized shocks reproduces fluctuations in participation, entry, and exit rates from multiple countries.
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