SFS Cavalcade North America 2026
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia
May 18-21, 2026
Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 18th Apr 2026, 05:20:30am EDT
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Agenda Overview |
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Track TH6-1: International Finance
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Sovereign Credit Risk, U.S. Monetary Policy, and the Role of Financial Intermediaries 1European Central Bank; 2University of Wisconsin-Madison; 3Federal Reserve Board of Governors Shocks to U.S. monetary policy significantly affect sovereign credit risk, and financial intermediaries play an important role in this transmission. Using market-based measures of intermediary stress and regulatory data on dealer-country-level sovereign CDS positions, we show that a decline in risk-taking capacity by intermediaries prior to an FOMC announcement significantly amplifies the sensitivity of sovereign spreads to U.S. monetary policy shocks. To explain these findings, we develop a general equilibrium asset pricing model of the world economy which features occasionally-binding intermediary borrowing constraints that amplify movements in sovereign default risk and risk premia. Spillovers from U.S. intermediary financing conditions to foreign output are crucial to match the sign and magnitude of monetary policy effects observed in the data.
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