Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 9th May 2025, 09:58:23am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track W7-6: Risk, Return, and Asset Pricing
Time:
Wednesday, 21/May/2025:
2:45pm - 3:30pm

Session Chair: Svetlana Bryzgalova, London Business School
Discussant: Wei Winston Dou, The Wharton School at University of Pennsylvania
Location: Gateway North 103


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Presentations

Quantity, Risk, and Return

Yu An1, Yinan Su1, Chen Wang2

1Johns Hopkins University; 2University of Notre Dame

We propose a new model of expected stock returns that incorporates quantity information from market trading activities into the factor pricing framework. We posit that the expected return of a stock is determined by not only its factor risk exposures (beta) but also the factor's quantity fluctuations (q) induced by noise trading flows, and hence term the model beta times quantity (BTQ). The rationale is that a factor's premium should be higher when sophisticated investors have absorbed flows of stocks with high exposure to that factor. The BTQ model provides a compelling risk-based explanation for stock returns, which is otherwise obscured without considering the quantity information. The cross-sectional risk-return association, which is nearly flat unconditionally, strongly depends on the quantity variable. The structured BTQ model reliably predicts monthly stock returns out of sample, and addresses the factor zoo problem by selecting a small number of factors.

An-Quantity, Risk, and Return-218.pdf


 
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