Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 3rd July 2025, 09:38:51am EDT
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Session Overview |
Session | ||
Track W3-6: Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy, and Asset Prices
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Presentations | ||
The Fed and the Wall Street Put 1University of Muenster; 2University of Southern California; 3International Monetary Fund (IMF) We study the trading behavior of financial intermediaries around Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements in the S&P 500 index options market using intraday data. In contrast to other days, proprietary trading firms are net sellers of options on FOMC days, with their trading activity concentrated in the morning, well before the announcement. Larger option sales by proprietary trading firms in the morning predict both a more accommodative monetary policy shock later in the day and a subsequent decline in option prices after the policy announcement, rendering morning trades profitable. We decompose monetary policy shocks into three components and evaluate potential explanations for these findings. Our analyses suggest that some financial institutions may have the ability to predict financial markets' reaction to Fed policy announcements.
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