Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 9th May 2025, 10:08:42am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track T1-6: Beliefs, Disagreement, and Asset Prices
Time:
Tuesday, 20/May/2025:
2:45pm - 3:30pm

Session Chair: Daniel Andrei, McGill
Discussant: Aytek Malkhozov, McGill University
Location: Gateway South 216


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Presentations

Institutions' Return Expectations across Assets and Time

Magnus Dahlquist2, Markus Felix Ibert1

1Copenhagen Business School; 2Stockholm School of Economics, Sweden

We study the equity, Treasury bond, and corporate bond risk premium expectations of asset managers, investment consultants, wealth advisors, public pension funds, and professional forecasters. Consistent with conventional rational expectations asset pricing models, subjective risk premia vary one-to-one with objective risk premia that are available in real time and countercyclical (i.e., high in recessions and low in expansions). Despite their significant time-series variation, several subjective equity premia vary more in the cross-section than in the time series. We tie this heterogeneity in subjective equity premia to heterogeneous priors about long-term valuations. Overall, the results are consistent with the notion that time-varying risk premia are the key drivers of asset prices.

Dahlquist-Institutions Return Expectations across Assets and Time-166.pdf


 
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