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Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 9th May 2025, 03:37:53am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track W7-3: Risk, Return, and Asset Pricing
Time:
Wednesday, 21/May/2025:
10:30am - 11:15am

Session Chair: Svetlana Bryzgalova, London Business School
Discussant: Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Yale University
Location: Gateway North 103


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Presentations

Causal Inference for Asset Pricing

Valentin Haddad2,3, Zhiguo He4,3, Paul Huebner1, Peter Kondor5,7, Erik Loualiche6

1Stockholm School of Economics; 2UCLA Anderson School of Management; 3NBER; 4Stanford GSB; 5London School of Economics and Political Science; 6University of Minnesota Carlson School of Management; 7CEPR

This paper provides a guide for using causal inference with asset prices and quantities. Our framework revolves around two simple assumptions: homogenous substitution conditional on observables and constant relative elasticity. Under these assumptions, standard cross-sectional instrumental variable or difference-in-difference regressions identify the relative demand elasticity between assets, the difference between own-price and cross-price elasticity. In contrast, identifying aggregate elasticities and substitution along specific characteristics necessarily relies jointly on exogenous sources of time-series variation alone. The same principles also apply to the estimation of multipliers measuring the price impact of supply or demand shocks. The two assumptions map to familiar restrictions on covariance matrices in classical asset pricing models, encompass models from the industrial organization literature such as logit, and accommodate rich substitution patterns even outside of these models. We discuss how to design experiments satisfying these conditions and offer diagnostics to validate them.

Haddad-Causal Inference for Asset Pricing-1021.pdf


 
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