Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 9th May 2025, 10:35:57am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track W6-5: Real Estate
Time:
Wednesday, 21/May/2025:
1:45pm - 2:30pm

Session Chair: Timothy McQuade, Haas School of Business
Discussant: Dominik Supera, Columbia Business School
Location: Babbio Center 104


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Presentations

Unlocking Mortgage Lock-In: Evidence From a Spatial Housing Ladder Model

Pierre Mabille1, Julia Fonseca2, Lu Liu3

1INSEAD; 2UIUC Gies; 3Wharton

Mortgage borrowers are "locked in": forgoing moves to keep low mortgage rates. We study the general equilibrium effects of mortgage lock-in on housing markets. We provide causal evidence that lock-in increases prices, particularly in expensive areas, because locked-in borrowers would otherwise demand less housing. We design a spatial housing ladder model with long-term mortgages, generating a distribution of locked-in rates and equilibrium effects on mobility and prices consistent with the data. A temporary rate hike causes lock-in, increasing housing demand and prices, especially in expensive areas. A $10k tax credit to starter-home sellers modestly unlocks mobility while increasing trade-up home prices.

Mabille-Unlocking Mortgage Lock-In-1116.pdf


 
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