Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 9th May 2025, 10:10:00am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track W6-2: Real Estate
Time:
Wednesday, 21/May/2025:
9:30am - 10:15am

Session Chair: Timothy McQuade, Haas School of Business
Discussant: Nitzan Tzur Ilan, Dallas Fed
Location: Babbio Center 104


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Presentations

Physical Climate Risk Factors and an Application to Measuring Insurers’ Climate Risk Exposure

Hyeyoon Jung1, Robert Engle2, Shan Ge2, Xuran Zeng2

1Federal Reserve Bank of New York; 2New York University, Stern School of Business

We construct a novel physical risk factor by forming a portfolio of REITs, long on those with properties more exposed to climate risk and short on those less exposed. Combined with a transition risk factor, we assess the climate risk exposure of P&C and life insurance companies in the U.S. Insurers can be exposed to climate-related physical risk through their operations and transition risk through their $12 trillion of financial asset holdings. We estimate insurers’ dynamic physical and transition climate beta, i.e. their stock return sensitivity to the physical and transition risk factors. Validating our approach, we find that insurers with larger exposures to risky states have a higher sensitivity to physical risk, while insurers holding more brown assets have a higher sensitivity to transition risk. Using the estimated betas, we calculate the expected capital shortfall of insurers under various climate stress scenarios.

Jung-Physical Climate Risk Factors and an Application to Measuring Insurers’ Climate Risk-986.pdf


 
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