Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 9th May 2025, 03:46:50am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track W3-5: Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy, and Asset Prices
Time:
Wednesday, 21/May/2025:
1:45pm - 2:30pm

Session Chair: Anna Cieslak, Duke
Discussant: Rohan Kekre, Chicago Booth
Location: Gateway North 204


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Presentations

Monetary Policy without Moving Interest Rates: The Fed Non-Yield Shock

Christoph E Boehm1, T Niklas Kroner2

1UT Austin and NBER; 2Federal Reserve Board

Existing high-frequency monetary policy shocks explain surprisingly little variation in stock prices and exchange rates around FOMC announcements. Further, both of these asset classes display heightened volatility relative to non-announcement times. We use a heteroskedasticity-\allowbreak based procedure to estimate a "Fed non-yield shock'', which is orthogonal to yield changes and is identified from excess volatility in the S&P 500 and various dollar exchange rates. A positive non-yield shock raises stock prices in the U.S. and around the globe, depreciates the dollar against all major currencies, increases global commodity prices, and leads to net capital inflows into emerging market economies. The non-yield shock is essentially uncorrelated with previous monetary policy shocks and its effects are large in comparison. Its strong effects on the VIX and other risk-related measures point towards a dominant risk premium channel. We show that the non-yield shock can be related to Fed communications and that its existence has implications for the identification of structural monetary policy shocks.

Boehm-Monetary Policy without Moving Interest Rates-623.pdf


 
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