Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 9th May 2025, 10:17:07am EDT
|
Session Overview |
Session | ||
Track T6-5: Mortgages and Real Estate
| ||
Presentations | ||
Extend-and-Pretend in the U.S. CRE Market 1New York Fed, CEPR; 2Harvard University We show that banks “extended-and-pretended” their impaired CRE mortgages in the post-pandemic period to avoid writing off their capital, leading to credit misallocation and a buildup of financial fragility. We detect this behavior using loan-level supervisory data on maturity extensions, bank assessment of credit risk, and realized defaults for loans to property owners and REITs. Extend-and-pretend crowds out new credit provision, leading to a 4.8–5.3% drop in CRE mortgage origination since 2022:Q1 and fuels the amount of CRE mortgages maturing in the near term. As of 2023:Q4, this “maturity wall” represents 27% of bank capital.
|
Contact and Legal Notice · Contact Address: Privacy Statement · Conference: SFS Cavalcade NA 2025 |
Conference Software: ConfTool Pro 2.6.153 © 2001–2025 by Dr. H. Weinreich, Hamburg, Germany |