Conference Agenda

Session
Track T1-2: Beliefs, Disagreement, and Asset Prices
Time:
Tuesday, 20/May/2025:
9:30am - 10:15am

Session Chair: Daniel Andrei, McGill
Discussant: Philipp Illeditsch, Texas A&M U
Location: Gateway South 216


Presentations

Beliefs Heterogeneity and the Equity Term Structure

Hamilton Galindo Gil1, Yucheng Zhou2

1Cleveland State University; 2University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

What is the role of belief heterogeneity in shaping the equity term structure? We address this question by developing a general equilibrium model with habit formation in consumption and heterogeneity in both risk aversion and beliefs about the expected growth rate of the aggregate endowment. We demonstrate that the effects of belief heterogeneity are countercyclical, increasing equity yields during recessions and reducing them during expansions. These effects are also more pronounced in recessions than in expansions and are stronger for short-term assets than for long-term assets. Our findings underscore the significant role of belief heterogeneity in determining equity yields.

Galindo Gil-Beliefs Heterogeneity and the Equity Term Structure-1464.pdf