Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 3rd July 2025, 06:14:23am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track TH6-2: International Finance
Time:
Thursday, 22/May/2025:
9:30am - 10:15am

Session Chair: Tony Zhang, Federal Reserve Board
Discussant: Zhiyu Fu, Washington University St. Louis
Location: Gateway South 122


Show help for 'Increase or decrease the abstract text size'
Presentations

Intermediated Dollar Lending of Last Resort: from Dollar Safety to Treasury Fragility

Ding Ding, Karen Lewis, Yao Zeng

University of Pennsylvania

We examine the unintended long-term consequences of the U.S.'s role as a dollar lender of last resort. Using administrative data, we show that dollar swap lines substitute for both market-based dollar funding and foreign central banks’ dollar reserves, especially when those sources are scarce. However, this backstop incentivizes global banks to take on greater currency mismatches while prompting foreign central banks to hold fewer dollar reserves, such as U.S. Treasuries. We develop a model that formalizes intermediated dollar lending of last resort, highlighting the global intermediation chain in emergency dollar provision. In the model, while swap lines help stabilize dollar appreciations and mitigate CIP deviations during times of stress, they lead to ex-ante over-investment (under-investment) in dollar assets by foreign private (central) banks due to pecuniary externalities. This inefficiency introduces unintended risks not only for foreign economies but also, perhaps surprisingly, for the U.S., by shifting Treasury holdings toward less stable investors and raising fire-sale risks.

Ding-Intermediated Dollar Lending of Last Resort-1600.pdf


 
Contact and Legal Notice · Contact Address:
Privacy Statement · Conference: SFS Cavalcade NA 2025
Conference Software: ConfTool Pro 2.6.154
© 2001–2025 by Dr. H. Weinreich, Hamburg, Germany