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Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 9th May 2025, 03:35:52am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track TH4-2: Credit and Banking
Time:
Thursday, 22/May/2025:
9:30am - 10:15am

Session Chair: Olivier Wang, New York University
Discussant: Kyle Dempsey, The Ohio State University
Location: Gateway North 204


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Presentations

Credit Card Banking

Itamar Drechsler1, Hyeyoon Jung2, Weiyu Peng1, Dominik Supera3, Guanyu Zhou1

1Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania; 2Federal Reserve Bank of New York; 3Columbia Business School

Credit card interest rates average 23%, far exceeding rates on other major loan or bond types. To understand the drivers of these high rates and the economics of credit card banking, we analyze regulatory account-level data on 330 million monthly accounts, representing 90% of the US credit card market. While high default rates partially explain high card interest rates, netting these out still leaves an average interest spread of 10%. Non-interest expenses, including rewards, are more than offset by corresponding non-interest income. Operating costs are large, suggesting a significant role for market power, and explain a sizable part of rate spreads. Yet even after subtracting them, banks’ return on credit card lending is over four times their average return on assets. Using the cross section of accounts by default risk, we estimate a price of default risk. We find it is similar to that in high-yield bonds, and implies the average card borrower pays a 4.2% risk premium. Yet, there remains a substantial zero-beta rate of 3% that is unexplained by risk and is specific to credit card lending.

Drechsler-Credit Card Banking-929.pdf


 
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