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Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 9th May 2025, 10:20:56am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track TH8-1: Macro-finance
Time:
Thursday, 22/May/2025:
8:30am - 9:15am

Session Chair: Thomas Mertens, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Discussant: Dejanir Silva, Purdue University
Location: Babbio Center 203


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Presentations

Growth-Indexed Securities

Stavros Panageas

UCLA

Macro-finance models featuring an infinitely-lived, representative agent typically imply that (a) the equity premium reflects compensation for aggregate risk and (b) the long-run, risk-adjusted growth rate of consumption is smaller than the risk-free rate (``transversality condition''). The international historical experience with growth-indexed bonds suggests that these bonds, which isolate the risk premium of aggregate fluctuations, command only a moderate risk premium. Equity investments that that are hedged against aggregate fluctuations still command a sizable equity premium, suggesting that the equity premium is not just compensation for aggregate risk. In addition, the risk-adjusted GDP-growth rate is roughly the same (and slightly higher) than the risk-free rate, which calls into question one of the basic tenets of standard macro-finance models. The findings have potential implications for some recent puzzles pertaining to the pricing of government debt.

Panageas-Growth-Indexed Securities-1540.pdf


 
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