Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
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Session Overview |
Session | ||
Track T1-1: Beliefs, Disagreement, and Asset Prices
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Presentations | ||
Volatility Disagreement and Asset Prices 1Purdue University; 2University of Colorado Boulder We study a dynamic equilibrium model in which investors disagree on future volatility and trade volatility derivatives to hedge stock positions and speculate. On average, volatility disagreement makes the variance risk premium more negative. However, volatility trading enables a risk transfer among investors that turns the variance risk premium positive when the market underestimates future volatility. Under higher volatility, investors trade fewer volatility derivatives as these become too risky. These economic mechanisms shed light on empirical regularities during market turmoil. Volatility disagreement also lowers the stock market valuation, increases market volatility, and generates time-variation in the leverage effect.
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