Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 14th May 2024, 09:01:15am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track W4-6: The Financing of Innovation
Time:
Wednesday, 22/May/2024:
2:45pm - 3:30pm

Session Chair: Emmanuel Yimfor, Columbia University
Discussant: Xu Tian, Terry College of Business, University of Georgia
Location: Room 601


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Presentations

Excess Commitment in R&D

Marius Guenzel1, Tong Liu2

1Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania; 2MIT Sloan

We document a form of "excess" commitment to R&D projects and examine the consequences for innovation outcomes and consumer welfare, using detailed data on pharmaceutical firms' clinical trial projects. Plausibly-exogenous delays in the completion of the preceding trial-phase, empirically uncorrelated with various project-quality measures, substantially reduce firms' subsequent project termination propensity. This excess project commitment intensifies when the CEO has higher stock-price-compensation sensitivity and is personally responsible for the project’s initiation. Welfare implications are nuanced: delay-driven commitment induces investment crowd-out, while not predicting increased adverse effects in marginally-launched drugs and predicting continuation of drugs for diseases lacking alternative treatments.


Guenzel-Excess Commitment in R&D-985.pdf


 
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