Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 14th May 2024, 08:43:05am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track M8-6: Disagreement, beliefs and asset prices
Time:
Monday, 20/May/2024:
2:45pm - 3:30pm

Session Chair: Sean Myers, The Wharton School
Discussant: Seula Kim, Princeton University
Location: Room 619


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Presentations

Economic Growth through Diversity in Beliefs

Christian Heyerdahl-Larsen2, Philipp Illeditsch1, Howard Kung3

1Texas A&M University; 2BI Oslo; 3LBS

We study a macro-finance model with entrepreneurs who have diverse views about the likelihood that their ideas will lead to successful innovations. These views and the resulting experimentation stimulate economic growth and overcome market failures that would otherwise occur in an equilibrium without this diversity. The resulting benefits for future generations come at the cost of higher wealth and consumption inequality because a few entrepreneurs will ex-post be successful while most entrepreneurs will fail. Hence, our model provides a potential explanation for the “entrepreneurial puzzle” in which entrepreneurs choose to innovate despite taking on substantial idiosyncratic risk accompanied by low expected returns. Venture capital funds and taxes enhance risk sharing among entrepreneurs, stimulating innovation and growth unless high taxes deplete entrepreneurial capital. Redistribution via taxes reduces inequality and can raise interest rates. Nevertheless, a tradeoff exists between risk-sharing and the exertion of costly effort, giving rise to a hump-shaped economic growth curve when plotted against tax rates.


Heyerdahl-Larsen-Economic Growth through Diversity in Beliefs-1449.pdf


 
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