Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 14th May 2024, 11:13:05am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track M4-6: Monetary Policy and Banking Supervision
Time:
Monday, 20/May/2024:
2:45pm - 3:30pm

Session Chair: Lu Liu, University of Pennsylvania
Discussant: Paul Willen, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
Location: Room 548


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Presentations

Monetary Policy Wedges and the Long-term Liabilities of Households and Firms

Marco Grotteria1, Jules van Binsbergen2

1London Business School; 2University of Pennsylvania

We examine the impact of monetary policy transmission on households’ and firms’ long-duration liabilities using high-frequency variation in 10-year swap rates around FOMC announcements. We find that mortgage rates respond about three weeks after monetary policy announcements at which point they move one-for-one with 10-year swap rates, leaving little explanatory power for credit risk, mortgage concentration, or bank market power. Changes in credit risk do materially affect monetary policy transmission into corporate bonds. We show that expected future short rates and movements in convenience yields play a significant role in explaining both mortgage rates and corporate bond yields. Finally, we assess the implications of our findings for banks’ net worth. Outside of unconventional monetary policy interventions, the banking industry is highly exposed to shocks in long-term rates, with bank stocks increasing by 7.91% for every 1% positive surprise to the 10-year swap rate.


Grotteria-Monetary Policy Wedges and the Long-term Liabilities-659.pdf


 
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