Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 14th May 2024, 06:11:58am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track T8-3: Return Expectations of Households and Professionals
Time:
Tuesday, 21/May/2024:
10:30am - 11:15am

Session Chair: Alessandro Previtero, Indiana University
Discussant: Victor Duarte, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign
Location: Room 610


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Presentations

Beyond the Status Quo: A Critical Assessment of Lifecycle Investment Advice

Aizhan Anarkulova1, Scott Cederburg2, Michael O'Doherty3

1Emory University; 2University of Arizona; 3University of MIssouri

We challenge two central tenets of lifecycle investing: (i) investors should diversify across stocks and bonds and (ii) the young should hold more stocks than the old. An even mix of 50% domestic stocks and 50% international stocks held throughout one’s lifetime vastly outperforms age-based, stock-bond strategies in building wealth, supporting retirement consumption, preserving capital, and generating bequests. These findings are based on a lifecycle model that features dynamic processes for labor earnings, Social Security benefits, and mortality and captures the salient time-series and cross-sectional properties of long-horizon asset class returns. Given the sheer magnitude of US retirement savings, we estimate that Americans could realize trillions of dollars in welfare gains by adopting the all-equity strategy.


Anarkulova-Beyond the Status Quo-608.pdf


 
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