Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 14th May 2024, 09:25:31am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track T3-5: Corporate Theory
Time:
Tuesday, 21/May/2024:
1:45pm - 2:30pm

Session Chair: Giorgia Piacentino, USC
Discussant: Matthieu Gomez, Columbia University
Location: Room 548


Show help for 'Increase or decrease the abstract text size'
Presentations

The Rise and Fall of Investment: Rethinking Q theory in Equilibrium

Xinwei LI

INSEAD

The classic Q theory of investment is commonly interpreted to assert that marginal Q, synonymous to the marginal value of capital, is the sufficient statistic for investment. That is because Q-theory is purely demand-based in the sense that variations in investment are fully driven by those in the demand for investment.

This paper provides an exposition of how shocks to the supply of investment drive the joint dynamics of investment and Q. In absence of shocks to the marginal cost of invest- ment (i.e., the supply of investment), shocks to the marginal value of investment (i.e., the demand for investment) determine both equilibrium investment and Q, resulting in a con- ventionally expected monotonic relation along the constant upward-sloping investment supply curve. In presence of non-trivial shocks to the marginal cost of investment, how- ever, there is no longer a one-to-one relation between investment and Q. In essence, Q is to investment as price to quantity in any demand-supply system. This paper theoretically demonstrates that, in a general dynamic model of investment, shocks to the investment demand induce a positive comovement between investment and Q when the marginal cost of investment is monotonically increasing, while shocks to the investment supply induce a negative comovement of investment and Q when investment is sufficiently inelastic to supply shocks. The elasticity of investment to demand and supply shocks critically de- pends on their respective persistence. This paper shows with numerical simulations that the correlation between investment and marginal/average Q critically depends on the rela- tive volatility of and the persistence of supply shocks. A modest level of volatility of supply shocks is able to generate low or even negative correlations between investment and Q.

In summary, one should rethink from an equilibrium view the relation between invest- ment and Q, both of which are simultaneously determined by shocks to both investment demand and supply.


LI-The Rise and Fall of Investment-268.pdf


 
Contact and Legal Notice · Contact Address:
Privacy Statement · Conference: SFS Cavalcade NA 2024
Conference Software: ConfTool Pro 2.6.149
© 2001–2024 by Dr. H. Weinreich, Hamburg, Germany