Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 13th May 2024, 08:05:39pm EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track M4-4: Monetary Policy and Banking Supervision
Time:
Monday, 20/May/2024:
11:30am - 12:15pm

Session Chair: Lu Liu, University of Pennsylvania
Discussant: Indraneel Chakraborty, University of Miami
Location: Room 548


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Presentations

Unintended Consequences of QE: Real Estate Prices and Financial Stability

Tobias Berg1, Rainer Haselmann1, Thomas Kick2, Sebastian Schreiber1

1Goethe University; 2Bundesbank

We investigate how unconventional monetary policy, via central banks’ purchases of corporate bonds, unfolds in credit-saturated markets. While this policy results in a loosening of credit market conditions as intended by policymakers, we report two unintended side effects. First, the policy impacts the allocation of credit among industries. Affected banks reallocate loans from investment-grade firms active on bond markets almost entirely to real estate asset managers. Other industries do not obtain more loans, particularly real estate developers and construction firms. We document an increase in real estate prices due to this policy, which fuels real estate overvaluation. Second, more loan write-offs arise from lending to these firms, and banks are not compensated for this risk by higher interest rates. We document a drop in bank profitability and, at the same time, a higher reliance on real estate collateral. Our findings suggest that central banks’ quantitative easing has substantial adverse effects in credit-saturated economies.


Berg-Unintended Consequences of QE-196.pdf


 
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