Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 14th May 2024, 08:56:44am EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track M1-5: FinTech
Time:
Monday, 20/May/2024:
1:45pm - 2:30pm

Session Chair: Jillian Grennan, UC-Berkeley
Discussant: Jean-Edouard Colliard, HEC Paris
Location: Room 610


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Presentations

AI-Powered Trading, Algorithmic Collusion, and Price Efficiency

Winston Dou1, Itay Goldstein1, Yan Ji2

1The Wharton School at University of Pennsylvania; 2HKUST

The integration of algorithmic trading and reinforcement learning, known as AI-powered trading, has significantly impacted capital markets. This study utilizes a model of imperfect competition among informed speculators with asymmetric information to explore the implications of AI-powered trading strategies on speculators' market power, information rents, price informativeness, market liquidity, and mispricing. Our results demonstrate that informed AI speculators, even though they are ``unaware'' of collusion, can autonomously learn to employ collusive trading strategies. These collusive strategies allow them to achieve supra-competitive trading profits by strategically under-reacting to information, even without any form of agreement or communication, let alone interactions that might violate traditional antitrust regulations. Algorithmic collusion emerges from two distinct mechanisms. The first mechanism is through the adoption of price-trigger strategies (``artificial intelligence''), while the second stems from homogenized learning biases (``artificial stupidity''). The former mechanism is evident only in scenarios with limited price efficiency and noise trading risk. In contrast, the latter persists even under conditions of high price efficiency or large noise trading risk. As a result, in a market with prevalent AI-powered trading, both price informativeness and market liquidity can suffer, reflecting the influence of both artificial intelligence and stupidity.


Dou-AI-Powered Trading, Algorithmic Collusion, and Price Efficiency-1171.pdf


 
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