Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 13th May 2024, 05:41:16pm EDT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track M8-1: Disagreement, beliefs and asset prices
Time:
Monday, 20/May/2024:
8:30am - 9:15am

Session Chair: Sean Myers, The Wharton School
Discussant: Ricardo De la O, University of Southern California
Location: Room 619


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Presentations

Dissecting Disagreement in Valuations: Inputs and Outcomes

Paul Decaire1, Denis Sosyura1, Michael Wittry2

1Arizona State University; 2Ohio State University

Using valuation models of financial analysts, we identify the drivers of disagreement

in stock valuation. Disagreement in the discount rate is as important in explaining

the variation in a stock’s intrinsic value as the disagreement in expected cash flows.

Analysts derive the discount rate by estimating the same return-generating model

(CAPM) but over different trailing horizons and under different assumptions about the

market risk premium. This approach produces large variation in betas and the discount

rate. These methodological choices are specific to the analyst rather than their firm.

Overall, we offer micro evidence on the inner workings of securities valuation.


Decaire-Dissecting Disagreement in Valuations-1035.pdf


 
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