SFS Cavalcade North America 2024
Georgia State University | May 19-22, 2024
Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 1st May 2025, 10:01:12am EDT
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Session Overview |
Session | ||
Track W7-6: Return Predictability
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Presentations | ||
Too Good to Be True: Look-ahead Bias in Empirical Options Research 1Rice University; 2University of Southern California; 3Rochester Institute of Technology; 4University of Kansas; 5Louisiana State University Numerous trading strategies examined in options research exhibit remarkably high mean returns and Sharpe ratios. We show some of these seemingly ``good deals'' are due to look-ahead biases. These biases stem from using information unavailable at the portfolio formation time to filter out observations suspected of being noisy or erroneous. Our results suggest that elevated Sharpe ratios may serve as potential indicators of such look-ahead biases. Furthermore, deviating from previous literature findings, we show that illiquidity is not strongly priced in stock options and that only a small set of stock characteristics are in fact associated with option expected returns.
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