Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

 
 
Session Overview
Session
Track M7-1: The Cross-Section of Stock, Bond and Currency Returns
Time:
Monday, 20/May/2024:
8:30am - 9:15am

Session Chair: Lars Lochstoer, UCLA
Discussant: Patrick Weiss, Reykjavik University
Location: Room 601


Presentations

The Corporate Bond Factor Zoo

Alexander Dickerson1, Christian Julliard2, Philippe Mueller3

1University of New South Wales; 2London School of Economics; 3University of Warwick

Analyzing 563 trillion possible models, we find that the majority of tradable factors designed to price bond markets are unlikely sources of priced risk, and only one novel tradable bond factor, capturing the bond post-earnings announcement drift, should be included in the stochastic discount factor (SDF) with very high probability. Nevertheless, the SDF is dense in the space of observable factors, with both nontradable and equity-based ones being salient for pricing corporate bonds. A Bayesian model averaging–SDF explains corporate risk premia better than all existing models, both in- and out-of-sample, and captures business cycle and market crash risks.


Dickerson-The Corporate Bond Factor Zoo-965.pdf