Conference Agenda

Session Overview
Session
Track T6-3: Treasury Markets, Inflation and Taxes
Time:
Tuesday, 21/May/2024:
10:30am - 11:15am

Session Chair: Marco Grotteria, London Business School
Discussant: Paymon Khorrami, Duke University
Location: Room 501


Presentations

Fragility of Safe Asset Markets

Thomas M Eisenbach1, Gregory Phelan2

1New York Fed; 2Williams College

In March 2020, safe asset markets experienced surprising and unprecedented price crashes. We explain how strategic investor behavior can create such market fragility in a model with investors valuing safety, investors valuing liquidity, and constrained dealers. While safety investors and liquidity investors can interact symbiotically with offsetting trades in times of stress, liquidity investors’ strategic interaction harbors the potential for self-fulfilling fragility. When the market is fragile, standard flight-to-safety can have a destabilizing effect and trigger a dash-for-cash by liquidity investors. Well-designed policy interventions can reduce market fragility ex ante and restore orderly functioning ex post.


Eisenbach-Fragility of Safe Asset Markets-1442.pdf