Conference Agenda

Session
Track W2-1: Banking and Monetary Transmission
Time:
Wednesday, 22/May/2024:
8:30am - 9:15am

Session Chair: Moritz Lenel, Princeton University
Discussant: Matthew Plosser, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Location: Room 501


Presentations

Monetary Transmission through Bank Securities Portfolios

Daniel Greenwald1, John Krainer2, Pascal Paul3

1NYU Stern; 2Federal Reserve Board of Governors; 3Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

We study the transmission of monetary policy through bank securities portfolios for the United States using granular supervisory data on bank securities, hedging positions, and corporate credit. We find that banks that experienced larger market value losses on their securities during the monetary tightening cycle in 2022 extended relatively less credit to firms. Such a spillover effect was stronger for (i) available-for-sale securities, (ii) unhedged securities, and (iii) banks that have to include unrealized gains and losses on their available-for-sale securities in their regulatory capital. A structural model, disciplined by our cross-sectional regression estimates, shows that policy rate transmission is more powerful if banks are required to adjust their regulatory capital for unrealized value changes of securities.


Greenwald-Monetary Transmission through Bank Securities Portfolios-1646.pdf