Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Location indicates the building first and then the room number!

Click on "Floor plan" for orientation in the builings and on the campus.

 
 
Session Overview
Date: Monday, 10/Mar/2025
4:00 pm
-
7:00 pm
Conference Office
Location: Foyer Potthoff Bau
Floor plan

Date: Tuesday, 11/Mar/2025
8:00 am
-
9:00 am
Conference Office
Location: Foyer Potthoff Bau
Floor plan
9:00 am
-
9:15 am
Opening Ceremony
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
9:15 am
-
10:15 am
Plenary I
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Claudia Kirch
 
9:15 am - 10:15 am

Causality in Dynamical Systems

Jonas Peters

10:15 am
-
10:45 am
Coffee Break
Location: Foyer Potthoff Bau
Floor plan
Coffee Break
Location: POT 168
Floor plan
10:45 am
-
12:25 pm
S 1 (1): Machine Learning
Location: POT 06
Floor plan
Chair: Merle Behr
Chair: Alexandra Carpentier
 
10:45 am - 11:10 am

Deep Learning of Multivariate Extremes via a Geometric Representation

Callum John Murphy-Barltrop, Reetam Majumder, Jordan Richards



11:10 am - 11:35 am

Affine Invariance in Continuous-Domain Convolutional Neural Networks

Ali Mohaddes, Johannes Lederer



11:35 am - 12:00 pm

PAC-Bayesian optimization for deep stochastic neural networks using spatio-temporal data.

Lorenzo Proietti, Imma Valentina Curato

S 2 (1): Spatial stochastics, disordered media, and complex networks
Location: POT 251
Floor plan
Chair: Chinmoy Bhattacharjee
Chair: Benedikt Jahnel
 
10:45 am - 11:10 am

Survival of an infection under dilutions in space and time

Benedikt Jahnel, Anh Duc Vu



11:10 am - 11:35 am

On the contact process on dynamical random graphs with degree dependent dynamics

Anja Sturm, Natalia Cardona Tobon, Marcel Ortgiese, Marco Seiler



11:35 am - 12:00 pm

Meeting times via singular value decomposition

Anton Klimovsky, Thomas van Belle



12:00 pm - 12:25 pm

A Random Walk Approach to Broadcasting on Random Recursive Trees

Ernst Althaus, Lisa Hartung, Rebecca Steiner

S 5 (1): Stochastic modelling in life sciences
Location: POT 13
Floor plan
Chair: Matthias Birkner
 
10:45 am - 11:10 am

Fitness valleys, pit stops and changing environment

Manuel Esser, Anna Kraut



11:10 am - 11:35 am

The two-size Wright--Fisher model: an analysis via (uniform) renewal theory

Gerold Alsmeyer, Fernando Cordero, Hannah Dopmeyer



11:35 am - 12:00 pm

Coalescents with migration in the moderate regime

Sophia-Marie Mellis, Fernando Cordero, Emmanuel Schertzer



12:00 pm - 12:25 pm

Consistency and Central Limit Results in the (Recent) Admixture Model

Carola Sophia Heinzel

S 6 (1): Stochastic modelling in natural sciences
Location: POT 112
Floor plan
Chair: Michael Kupper
 
10:45 am - 11:10 am

Reconstruction of inhomogeneous turbulence based on stochastic Fourier-type integrals

Markus Antoni, Quinten Kürpick, Felix Lindner, Nicole Marheineke, Raimund Wegener



11:10 am - 11:35 am

Stability of travelling wave solutions to reaction-diffusion equations driven by additive noise with Hölder continuous paths

Amjad Saef, Wilhelm Stannat



11:35 am - 12:00 pm

Analysis of anomalous diffusion processes with random parameters

Hubert Woszczek



12:00 pm - 12:25 pm

Some stochastic aspects of stochastic elliptic inverse problems

Hans-Jörg Starkloff

S 7 (1): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 51
Floor plan
Chair: Andreas Neuenkirch
Chair: Jakob Söhl
 
10:45 am - 11:10 am

Uniform ergodicity for the geodesic slice sampler on compact Riemannian manifolds

Mareike Hasenpflug



11:10 am - 11:35 am

Multilevel Picard approximations for high-dimensional semilinear second-order PDEs with Lipschitz nonlinearities

Tuan Anh Nguyen



11:35 am - 12:00 pm

Bounding adapted Wasserstein metrics

Johannes Wiesel, Jose Blanchet, Martin Larsson, Jonghwa Park

S 7 (2): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 151
Floor plan
Chair: Andreas Neuenkirch
Chair: Jakob Söhl
 
10:45 am - 11:10 am

Bayesian inference in semi-linear SPDEs using spatial information

Sascha Robert Gaudlitz, Randolf Altmeyer



11:10 am - 11:35 am

Parameter estimation for the stochastic Burgers equation

Josef Janák



11:35 am - 12:00 pm

Parameter estimation in hyperbolic linear SPDEs from multiple measurements

Eric Ziebell, Anton Tiepner

S 8 (1): Finance, insurance and risk: Modelling
Location: POT 361
Floor plan
Chair: Peter Hieber
Chair: Frank Seifried
 
10:45 am - 11:10 am

Should I invest in the market portfolio? - A parametric approach

Jan Kallsen



11:10 am - 11:35 am

Pathwise stability of log-optimal portfolios

Andrew L. Allan, Anna P. Kwossek, Chong Liu, David J. Prömel



11:35 am - 12:00 pm

Sufficient Conditions for Utility Functions in Robust Utility Optimization

Philip Biegel, Jörn Saß



12:00 pm - 12:25 pm

Robust Utility Maximization in Continuous Time: Convergence and Updating the Uncertainty Sets

Jörn Sass

S13 (1): Nonparametric and asymptotic statistics
Location: ZEU 250
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Kreiss
Chair: Leonie Selk
 
10:45 am - 11:10 am

A Test of Independence over Periods of Time for Locally Stationary Processes

Carina Beering



11:10 am - 11:35 am

Estimation for Markov Chains with periodically missing observations

Ursula U. Müller



11:35 am - 12:00 pm

Tapered covariance matrix estimation for lattice processes

Antonio Fioravanti, Carsten Jentsch

12:50 pm
-
2:00 pm
Lunch
2:00 pm
-
2:50 pm
S13 Keynote: Nonparametric and asymptotic statistics - presented by MDPI
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Kreiss
Chair: Leonie Selk
 
2:00 pm - 2:50 pm

Modeling multiplex networks

Sofia Charlotta Olhede

2:00 pm
-
3:40 pm
S 1 (2): Machine Learning
Location: POT 06
Floor plan
Chair: Merle Behr
Chair: Alexandra Carpentier
 
2:00 pm - 2:25 pm

Clustering Experts with Bandit Feedback of their Performance in Multiple Tasks

Victor Thuot, Maximilian Graf, Nicolas Verzelen



2:25 pm - 2:50 pm

Permutation Estimation for Crowdsourcing

Maximilian Graf, Alexandra Carpentier, Nicolas Verzelen



2:50 pm - 3:15 pm

A random measure approach to reinforcement learning in continuous time

Christian Bender, Thuan Nguyen

S 2 (2): Spatial stochastics, disordered media, and complex networks
Location: POT 251
Floor plan
Chair: Chinmoy Bhattacharjee
Chair: Benedikt Jahnel
 
2:00 pm - 2:25 pm

Preferential attachment trees with vertex death

Bas Lodewijks, Markus Heydenreich



2:25 pm - 2:50 pm

Cluster sizes in subcritical soft Boolean models

Benedikt Jahnel, Lukas Lüchtrath, Marcel Ortgiese



2:50 pm - 3:15 pm

Inhomogeneous random graphs of preferential attachment type: Supercritical behaviour

Lucas Schätze, Peter Mörters



3:15 pm - 3:40 pm

Loops vs percolation

Andreas Klippel, Volker Betz, Benjamin Lees, Christian Mönch

S 4 (1): Limit theorems, large deviations and extremes
Location: ZEU 160
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Nagel
Chair: Marco Oesting
 
2:00 pm - 2:25 pm

Information criteria for the number of directions of extremes in high-dimensional data

Lucas Butsch, Vicky Fasen-Hartmann



2:25 pm - 2:50 pm

Principal component analysis for max-stable distributions

Felix Reinbott, Anja Janßen



2:50 pm - 3:15 pm

An Alternative Approach to Power Law Dynamics in Preferential Attachment Models

Anja Janßen, Max Ziegenbalg



3:15 pm - 3:40 pm

Gaussian Approximation and Moderate Deviations of Poisson Shot Noises with Application to Compound Generalized Hawkes Processes

Mahmoud Khabou, Giovanni Luca Torrisi

S 5 (2): Stochastic modelling in life sciences
Location: POT 13
Floor plan
Chair: Matthias Birkner
 
2:00 pm - 2:25 pm

3D-Analysis of tumor spheroids

Anja Voss-Böhme



2:25 pm - 2:50 pm

A maximum likelihood estimator for composite models

Tamara Schamberger, Florian Schuberth, Yves Rosseel, Jörg Henseler



2:50 pm - 3:15 pm

Robust Multivariate linear models for multivariate longitudinal data

Keunbaik Lee

S 6 (2): Stochastic modelling in natural sciences
Location: POT 112
Floor plan
Chair: Alexandra Blessing
Chair: Anton Klimovsky
 
2:00 pm - 2:25 pm

The interacting Bose gas, loops and interlacements

Wolfgang König, Alexander Zass



2:25 pm - 2:50 pm

Fitting spatial 3D models from stochastic geometry to 2D image data using methods from generative AI

Orkun Furat, Sabrina Weber, Lukas Fuchs, Volker Schmidt



2:50 pm - 3:15 pm

Existence and Non-Existence of Ground States in the Spin-Boson Model

Volker Betz, Benjamin Hinrichs, Mino Nicola Kraft, Steffen Polzer



3:15 pm - 3:40 pm

Enhanced binding for a quantum particle coupled to scalar quantized field

Volker Betz, Tobias Schmidt, Mark Sellke

S 7 (3): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 51
Floor plan
Chair: Andreas Neuenkirch
Chair: Jakob Söhl
 
2:00 pm - 2:25 pm

Numerical Methods for SDEs on Manifolds

Alexander Paul Lewis



2:25 pm - 2:50 pm

Regularizaiton by noise and approximations of singular kinetic SDEs

Chengcheng Ling



2:50 pm - 3:15 pm

Adaptive approximation of jump-diffusion SDEs with discontinuous drift

Verena Schwarz

S 7 (4): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 151
Floor plan
Chair: Andreas Neuenkirch
Chair: Jakob Söhl
 
2:00 pm - 2:25 pm

Stability of geometrically recurrent time-inhomogeneous Markov chains

Vitaliy Golomoziy



2:25 pm - 2:50 pm

Analyticity of the Capacity of the Range of Random Walks

Lorenz Gilch

S 8 (2): Finance, insurance and risk: Modelling
Location: POT 361
Floor plan
Chair: Peter Hieber
Chair: Frank Seifried
 
2:00 pm - 2:25 pm

XVA analysis in incomplete markets

Francesca Biagini, Alessandro Gnoatto, Katharina Oberpriller



2:25 pm - 2:50 pm

Estimation of dynamically recalibrated affine and polynomial models in finance

Ivo Richert, Jan Kallsen



2:50 pm - 3:15 pm

Weak Error Rates for Local Stochastic Volatility Models

Thomas Wagenhofer, Peter K. Friz, Benjamin Jourdain, Alexandre Zhou



3:15 pm - 3:40 pm

Discrete approximation of risk-based pricing under volatility uncertainty

Michael Kupper

2:50 pm
-
3:40 pm
S 3 Keynote: Stochastic Analysis and S(P)DEs
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Vitalii Konarovskyi
Chair: Aleksandra Zimmermann
 
2:50 pm - 3:40 pm

Mean field control with infinite dimensional common noise

François Delarue

S13 (2): is dropped
Location: ZEU 250
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Kreiss
Chair: Leonie Selk
3:40 pm
-
4:20 pm
Coffee Break
Location: Foyer Potthoff Bau
Floor plan
Coffee Break
Location: POT 168
Floor plan
4:20 pm
-
5:10 pm
S 7 Keynote: Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Andreas Neuenkirch
Chair: Jakob Söhl
 
4:20 pm - 5:10 pm

Kalikow decomposition for the study of neuronal networks: simulation and learning

Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

4:20 pm
-
6:00 pm
S 1 (3): Machine Learning
Location: POT 06
Floor plan
Chair: Merle Behr
Chair: Alexandra Carpentier
 
4:20 pm - 4:45 pm

Effective fluctuating continuum models for SGD with small learning rate, or in overparameterized limits

Benjamin Gess



4:45 pm - 5:10 pm

Learning of deep convolutional network image classifiers via stochastic gradient descent and over-parametrization

Michael Kohler, Adam Krzyżak, Alisha Sänger



5:10 pm - 5:35 pm

Optimal Rates for Forward Gradient Descent based on Multiple Queries

Niklas Dexheimer, Johannes Schmidt-Hieber



5:35 pm - 6:00 pm

Stochastic Modified Flows for Riemannian Stochastic Gradient Descent

Benjamin Gess, Sebastian Kassing, Nimit Rana

S 2 (3): Spatial stochastics, disordered media, and complex networks
Location: POT 251
Floor plan
Chair: Chinmoy Bhattacharjee
Chair: Benedikt Jahnel
 
4:20 pm - 4:45 pm

$L^1$-compression and percolation on graphs

Konstantin Recke, Chiranjib Mukherjee



4:45 pm - 5:10 pm

Edge Exchangeable Random Graphs: Connectedness, Completeness and Normality

Edward Eriksson



5:10 pm - 5:35 pm

Robustness in the Poisson Boolean model with convex grains

Peter Gracar, Marilyn Korfhage, Peter Mörters



5:35 pm - 6:00 pm

Dimensions of limsup sets on trees

Tobin Johannes Ott

S 3 (1): Stochastic Analysis and S(P)DEs
Location: POT 151
Floor plan
Chair: Vitalii Konarovskyi
Chair: Aleksandra Zimmermann
 
4:20 pm - 4:45 pm

Optimal Control of a fractional Noise-Perturbed Nonlinear Schroedinger Equation

Wilfried Grecksch



4:45 pm - 5:10 pm

Finite Dimensional Projections of HJB Equations in the Wasserstein Space

Andrzej Swiech, Lukas Wessels



5:10 pm - 5:35 pm

On the maximal regularity of SPDEs on non-smooth domains

Petru A. Cioica-Licht



5:35 pm - 6:00 pm

Solution theory for the stochastic thin film equation with spatially colored noise

Antonio Agresti, Konstantinos Dareiotis, Benjamin Gess, Manuel Victor Gnann, Max Sauerbrey

S 4 (2): is dropped
Location: ZEU 160
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Nagel
Chair: Marco Oesting
S 5 (3): Stochastic modelling in life sciences
Location: POT 13
Floor plan
Chair: Matthias Birkner
 
4:20 pm - 4:45 pm

On multi-type Cannings models and their multi-type limiting coalescents

Martin Möhle



4:45 pm - 5:10 pm

A conditional coalescent limit in fixed pedigrees

Frederic Alberti, Matthias Birkner, Wai Tong Fan, John Wakeley



5:10 pm - 5:35 pm

A central limit theorem for measure-valued Reed–Frost epidemics

Tobias Bernstein

S 6 (3): Stochastic modelling in natural sciences
Location: POT 112
Floor plan
Chair: Alexandra Blessing
Chair: Anton Klimovsky
 
4:20 pm - 4:45 pm

Physical origin of the fractional Brownian motion and related Gaussian processes arising in the models of anomalous diffusion

Yana A. Kinderknecht, Christian Bender, Mirko D'ovidio, Gianni Pagnini



4:45 pm - 5:10 pm

A probabilistic study of the set of stationary solutions to spatially kinetic-type equations

Glib Verovkin, Sebastian Mentemeier



5:10 pm - 5:35 pm

Analysis of a strongly repulsive particle system chemically interacting with the environment: a stochastic model for the sulphation phenomenon.

Giulia Rui, Daniela Morale, Stefania Ugolini, Adrian Muntean, Nicklas Javergard

S 8 (3): Finance, insurance and risk: Modelling
Location: POT 361
Floor plan
Chair: Peter Hieber
Chair: Frank Seifried
 
4:20 pm - 4:45 pm

Risk measures based on target risk profiles

Jascha Alexander, Christian Laudagé, Jörn Saß



4:45 pm - 5:10 pm

Multi-asset return risk measures

Christian Laudagé, Felix-Benedikt Liebrich, Jörn Sass



5:10 pm - 5:35 pm

Some remarks on the effect of risk sharing and diversification for infinite mean risks

Alfred Müller



5:35 pm - 6:00 pm

Perpetual American Options in a Two-Dimensional Black-Merton-Scholes Model

Pavel V. Gapeev, Goran Peskir

S13 (3): Nonparametric and asymptotic statistics
Location: ZEU 250
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Kreiss
Chair: Leonie Selk
 
4:20 pm - 4:45 pm

Asymptotics for large-dimensional projection matrices

Stanislav Anatolyev, Maksim Smirnov



4:45 pm - 5:10 pm

Change point detection in the mean of functional data with covariance operator offsetting

Hedvika Ranošová, Claudia Kirch, Martin Wendler



5:10 pm - 5:35 pm

Asymptotic Behavior of PCA Projections for Multivariate Extremes

Holger Drees



5:35 pm - 6:00 pm

On uniqueness of the set of $k$-means

Javier Cárcamo, Antonio Cuevas, Luis Alberto Rodríguez Ramírez

5:10 pm
-
6:00 pm
S 7 (5): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Andreas Neuenkirch
Chair: Jakob Söhl
 
5:10 pm - 5:35 pm

Siegmund Duality and Time Reversal of Lévy-type Processes

Anita Behme, Henriette Heinrich, Alexander Lindner



5:35 pm - 6:00 pm

Parameter estimation for polynomial models

Henrik Valett, Jan Kallsen

6:30 pm
-
9:00 pm
Poster Exhibition
Location: Dülfer-Saal
Floor plan
 

Optimal Control of McKean-Vlasov Stochastic Partial Differential Equations

Johan Benedikt Spille, Wilhelm Stannat



Limit Theorem for Trace of the Squared Sample Correlation Matrices in High Dimensions

Johannes Heiny, Xuechun Hu



Multiple Contrast Test for Youden-Indices in Factorial Diagnostic Trials

Dirk Schomburg, Frank Konietschke



Mixed moving average field guided learning with unbounded losses

Jasmin Sternkopf, Imma Valentina Curato



Stable convergence in law in approximation of stochastic integrals with respect to diffusions

Snježana Lubura Strunjak



Perpetual American standard and lookback options in models with progressively enlarged filtrations

Pavel V. Gapeev, Libo Li



A comparison of multiple imputation algorithms

Jürgen Kampf, Iryna Dykun, Tienush Rassaf, Amir Abbas Mahabadi



Efficient Estimation of a Gaussian Mean with Local Differential Privacy

Nikita P. Kalinin, Lukas Steinberger



STATISTICAL GUARANTEES FOR APPROXIMATE STATIONARY POINTS OF SHALLOW NEURAL NETWORKS

Mahsa Taheri, Fang Xie, Johannes Lederer



Adaptive Kernel Density Estimation in L2-norm using artificial data

Alejandro Emilio Pereira, Karine Bertin, Vincent Rivoirard



Measuring Dependence between Events

Marc-Oliver Pohle, Timo Dimitriadis, Jan-Lukas Wermuth



Testing Monotonicity of Regression in Sublinear Time

Zhi Liu, Housen Liu, Axel Munk



Some results on statistical classification

Lea Willems


Date: Wednesday, 12/Mar/2025
9:00 am
-
10:00 am
Plenary II
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Martin Keller-Ressel
 
9:00 am - 10:00 am

Statistics and calibration for rough volatility: misconceptions and optimal procedures'

Mathieu Rosenbaum

10:00 am
-
10:30 am
Coffee Break
Location: Foyer Potthoff Bau
Floor plan
Coffee Break
Location: POT 168
Floor plan
 
10:30 am
-
11:20 am
S 5 (4): Stochastic modelling in life sciences
Location: POT 13
Floor plan
Chair: Matthias Birkner
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Conditioning the logistic continuous state branching process on non-extinction

Clement Foucart, Victor Rivero, Anita Winter



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Limit Theorems for Branching Processes with Thresholds

Giacomo Francisci, Anand N Vidyashankar

S10 Keynote: Stochastic optimization and operation research
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Nikolaus Schweizer
Chair: Ralf Werner
 
10:30 am - 11:20 am

Bridging Data and Decisions: A Method for Optimization under Uncertainty using Regression Residuals

Guzin Bayraksan

 
10:30 am
-
12:10 pm
S 1 (4): Machine Learning
Location: POT 06
Floor plan
Chair: Merle Behr
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Flow matching vs. kernel density estimation

Lea Kunkel, Mathias Trabs



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Detecting the memorizing effect in generative AI

Gero Junike, Solveig Flaig, Ralf Werner



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Fixed-points of the distributional Bellman operator

Julian Gerstenberg, Ralph Neininger, Denis Spiegel



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Transport Dependency: Optimal Transport Based Dependency Measures

Thomas Staudt, Thomas Giacomo Nies, Axel Munk

S 2 (4): Spatial stochastics, disordered media, and complex networks
Location: POT 251
Floor plan
Chair: Chinmoy Bhattacharjee
Chair: Benedikt Jahnel
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Random connection hypergraphs

Morten Brun, Christian Hirsch, Peter Juhasz, Moritz Otto



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Graph and Hypergraph limits

Giulio Zucal



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Multivariate normal approximation for stabilizing functionals with binomial input in the convex distance

Arash Roostaei, Matthias Schulte



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Maximal degree in a window for Beta-Delaunay and Beta-Prime-Delaunay Triangulations

Joseph Gordon, Gilles Bonnet

S 3 (2): Stochastic Analysis and S(P)DEs
Location: POT 151
Floor plan
Chair: Vitalii Konarovskyi
Chair: Aleksandra Zimmermann
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Probabilistic approach to semi-linear elliptic equations with measure data

Tomasz Klimsiak, Andrzej Rozkosz



10:55 am - 11:20 am

A nonlinear stochastic convection-diffusion equation with reflection

Niklas Sapountzoglou, Aleksandra Zimmermann, Yassine Tahraoui, Guy Vallet



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Functional and Cheeger-type inequalities for Brownian motion with sticky-reflecting boundary diffusion

Marie Bormann, Max von Renesse, Feng-Yu Wang



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

The quenched Edwards–Wilkinson equation with Gaussian disorder

Toyomu Matsuda, Jaeyun Ji, Willem van Zuijlen

S 4 (3): Limit theorems, large deviations and extremes
Location: ZEU 160
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Nagel
Chair: Marco Oesting
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Extreme values of permutation statistics and triangular arrays

Philip Dörr, Thomas Kahle, Johannes Heiny



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Spatio-temporal statistical modeling of the occurrence of extreme events

Carolin Forster, Marco Oesting



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Convergence of Extremal Processes in Spaces of Growing Dimension

Bochen Jin



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Bayesian Inference for Functional Extreme Events Defined via Partially Unobserved Processes

Max Thannheimer, Marco Oesting

S 6 (4): Stochastic modelling in natural sciences
Location: POT 112
Floor plan
Chair: Alexandra Blessing
Chair: Anton Klimovsky
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Freezing limits of Calogero-Moser-Sutherland particle models

Michael Voit



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Simulation of Surface Defects using Voronoi Tessellations

Natascha Jeziorski, Petra Gospodnetic, Claudia Redenbach



11:20 am - 11:45 am

A min-max random game on a graph that is not a tree

Natalia Cardona Tobón, Anja Sturm, Jan Meinderts Swart



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Random eigenvalues of dual infinite $(p,q)$--nanotubes

Artur Bille, Victor Buchstaber, Pavel Ievlev, Svyatoslav Novikov, Evgeny Spodarev

S 7 (6): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 51
Floor plan
Chair: Andreas Neuenkirch
Chair: Jakob Söhl
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Learning Stochastic Reduced Models from Data: A Nonintrusive Approach

Jan Martin Nicolaus, Melina Freitag, Martin Redmann



10:55 am - 11:20 am

On the mathematical theory of continuous time Ensemble Kalman Filters

Sebastian Ertel



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Learning to steer with Brownian noise

Stefan Ankirchner, Sören Christensen, Jan Kallsen, Philip Le Borne, Stefan Perko

S 8 (4): Finance, insurance and risk: Modelling
Location: POT 361
Floor plan
Chair: Peter Hieber
Chair: Frank Seifried
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

The fundamental theorem of asset pricing with and without transaction costs

Christoph Kühn



10:55 am - 11:20 am

On the absence of arbitrage in diffusion markets with reflection and skewness

Alexis Anagnostakis, David Criens, Mikhail Urusov



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Equilibrium Asset Pricing with Epstein-Zin Stochastic Differential Utility

Andreea Popescu, Martin Herdegen



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Mean-variance equilibria in continuous time

Nikolaos Constantinou, Christoph Czichowsky, Martin Herdegen, David Martins

S12 (1): Computational, functional and high-dimensional statistics
Location: ZEU 260
Floor plan
Chair: Martin Wahl
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Sequential Monte Carlo depth computation with statistical guarantees

Felix Gnettner, Claudia Kirch, Alicia Nieto-Reyes



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Lower Complexity Adaptation for Empirical Entropic Optimal Transport

Michel Groppe, Shayan Hundrieser



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Simultaneous Estimation of Model Evidence and Posterior Predictive Distributions with Non-equilibrium Thermodynamic Integration

Daniel Nickelsen

S13 (4): Nonparametric and asymptotic statistics
Location: ZEU 250
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Kreiss
Chair: Leonie Selk
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Axiomatic characterisation of generalized $\psi$-estimators

Mátyás Barczy, Zsolt Páles



10:55 am - 11:20 am

An arginf continuous mapping theorem with application in regression analysis

Niklas Rosar



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Sharp oracle inequalities and universality of the AIC and FPE

Georg Köstenberger, Moritz Jirak



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

What are the Clopper-Pearson bounds, simply if a bit roughly?

Lutz Mattner

 
11:20 am
-
12:10 pm
S 5 Keynote: Stochastic modelling in life sciences
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Matthias Birkner
 
11:20 am - 12:10 pm

A spatial measure-valued model for chemical reaction networks in heterogeneous systems

Amandine Véber

S10 (1): Stochastic optimization and operation research
Location: POT 13
Floor plan
Chair: Nikolaus Schweizer
Chair: Ralf Werner
 
11:20 am - 11:45 am

Existence of equilibria in Dynkin games of war-of-attrition type

Boy Schultz, Sören Christensen



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Mokobodzki's intervals: an approach to Dynkin games when value process is not a semimartingale

Maurycy Rzymowski

 
12:10 pm
-
1:40 pm
Lunch
1:40 pm
-
2:30 pm
S 2 Keynote: Spatial stochastics, disordered media, and complex networks
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Chinmoy Bhattacharjee
Chair: Benedikt Jahnel
 
1:40 pm - 2:30 pm

Multiple Poisson Integrals: from U-statistics to Poincaré inequalities

Giovanni Peccati

1:40 pm
-
3:20 pm
S 1 (5): Machine Learning
Location: POT 06
Floor plan
Chair: Merle Behr
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Optimization of high-dimensional random functions

Felix Benning



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Towards Applying Regression Techniques for Counterfactual Reasoning

Kilian Rückschloß



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Lévy Langevin Monte Carlo

David Oechsler

S 3 (3): Stochastic Analysis and S(P)DEs
Location: POT 151
Floor plan
Chair: Vitalii Konarovskyi
Chair: Aleksandra Zimmermann
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Bayesian Filtering for SPDEs with Spatio-Temporal Point Process Observations

Jan Szalankiewicz, Cristina Martinez-Torres, Wilhelm Stannat



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

On the existence of weak solutions to mean-field stochastic Volterra equations

Martin Bergerhausen, David J. Prömel



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Ergodicity for stochastic Volterra processes

Luigi Amedeo Bianchi, Stefano Bonaccorsi, Ole Cañadas, Martin Friesen



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

Limit theorems for general functionals of Brownian local times

Simon Campese, Nicolas Lengert, Mark Podolskij

S 4 (4): Limit theorems, large deviations and extremes
Location: ZEU 160
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Nagel
Chair: Marco Oesting
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Phase transitions for linear spectral statistics of sample correlation matrices in high dimension

Johannes Heiny



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

A sharper Lyapunov-Katz central limit error bound for i.i.d. summands Zolotarev-close to normal

Lena Jonas



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

The free additive convolution of semicircular and uniform distribution

Martin Auer, Michael Voit



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

Central limit theorem for convex expectations

Jonas Blessing, Michael Kupper

S 6 (5): Stochastic modelling in natural sciences
Location: POT 112
Floor plan
Chair: Alexandra Blessing
Chair: Anton Klimovsky
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Multiple-merger coalescents {\it (I)} when the sample size is large, and {\it (II)} in a random environment

Bjarki Eldon



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

A probabilistic interpretation of a non-conservative and path-dependent nonlinear reaction-diffusion system for marble sulphation in Cultural Heritage

Leonardo Tarquini, Daniela Morale, Stefania Ugolini



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

The high-temperature phases of the complex CREM: Beyond weak correlations

Maximilian Fels, Lisa Hartung, Anton Klimovsky



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

Dimensionality Reduction in Filtering for Stochastic Reaction Networks

Maksim Chupin, Chiheb Ben Hammouda, Sophia Münker, Raúl Tempone

S 7 (7): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 51
Floor plan
Chair: Frank Aurzada
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Some insight in jumps of Dunkl processes and connections to Gilat's theorem

Jeannette H.C. Woerner



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

On nonlocal Neumann problem and corresponding stochastic process

Pawel Sztonyk



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Self-intersection local times of Volterra Gaussian processes

Olga Iziumtseva, Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

Vague and basic convergence of signed measures

Michael Staněk

S 8 (5): Finance, insurance and risk: Modelling
Location: POT 361
Floor plan
Chair: Peter Hieber
Chair: Frank Seifried
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

A Pareto tail plot and the principle of a single huge jump

Bernhard Klar



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Shrink-Swell Soils: Modelling and Pricing with Mean-Reverting Regime-Switching Lévy Processes

Aleksandr Pak, Olivier Le Courtois, Lorenz Schneider



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

On the Range Process of a L\'{e}vy Risk Process with Fair Valuation of Insurance Contract

Mohamed Amine Lkabous, Zijia Wang, Mengni Yang

S10 (2): Stochastic optimization and operation research
Location: POT 13
Floor plan
Chair: Nikolaus Schweizer
Chair: Ralf Werner
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Optimal control of stochastic delay differential equations and applications to portfolio optimization and optimal advertising

Filippo de Feo



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Time-consistent asset allocation for risk measures in a Lévy market

Felix Fießinger, Mitja Stadje



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

An investmentproblem with incomplete information

Fabian Gierens, Berenice Neumann



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

A Hot Topic: Modeling Prosumer Heat Storage with a Markov Decision Process

Nicole Bäuerle, Florian Döttling

S11 (1): Time series - Change-Point Analysis
Location: POT 251
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Schnurr
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Monitoring Time Series with Short Detection Delay

Tim Manfred Kutta



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Functional AR-Sieve Bootstrap for Change-Point Tests

Martin Wendler, Efstathios Paparoditis, Lea Wegner



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Two change point tests for a gradual change in the Poisson INARCH(1)-process

Florian Schirra, Schwaar Stefanie, Saß Jörn

S12 (2): Computational, functional and high-dimensional statistics
Location: ZEU 260
Floor plan
Chair: Martin Wahl
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Delayed Acceptance Slice Sampling: A Two-Level Method For Improved Efficiency In High-Dimensional Settings

Kevin Bitterlich, Björn Sprungk, Daniel Rudolf



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Metropolis-adjusted interacting particle sampling

Bjoern Sprungk, Simon Weissmann, Jakob Zech



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

A Unified Framework for Pattern Recovery in Penalized Estimation

Ulrike Schneider, Patrick Tardivel, Tomasz Skalski, Piotr Graczyk



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

Robust posterior sampling using the multiple Laplace approximations

Hanyue Gu, Björn Sprungk

S13 (5): Nonparametric and asymptotic statistics
Location: ZEU 250
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Kreiss
Chair: Leonie Selk
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Convergence Rates for the Maximum A Posteriori Estimator in PDE-Regression Models with Random Design

Maximilian Siebel



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Shift-Dispersion Decompositions of Wasserstein and Cramér Distances

Johannes Resin, Daniel Wolffram, Johannes Bracher, Timo Dimitriadis



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Uncovering Intrinsic Decompositions: A Tool to Interpret Statistical Distances

Andreas Eberl



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

Unlinked regression under vanishing variance

Ricardo Blum, Johannes Krebs, Enno Mammen

2:30 pm
-
3:20 pm
S 9 Keynote: Finance, insurance and risk: Quantitative methods
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Nils-Christian Detering
Chair: Peter Ruckdeschel
 
2:30 pm - 3:20 pm

Modelling contagious bank runs

Luitgard Anna Maria Veraart

3:20 pm
-
3:50 pm
Coffee Break
Location: Foyer Potthoff Bau
Floor plan
Coffee Break
Location: POT 168
Floor plan
 
3:50 pm
-
4:40 pm
S 1 (6): Machine Learning
Location: POT 06
Floor plan
Chair: Shayan Hundrieser
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Statistical guarantees for stochastic Metropolis-Hastings

Sebastian Bieringer, Gregor Kasieczka, Maximilian Steffen, Mathias Trabs



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Lévy Langevin Monte Carlo for heavy-tailed target distributions

Claudius Lütke Schwienhorst, Anita Behme

S 6 Keynote: Stochastic modelling in natural sciences
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Alexandra Blessing
Chair: Anton Klimovsky
 
3:50 pm - 4:40 pm

Stability and instability of almost-surely invariant structures in stochastic systems

Alex Blumenthal, Sam Punshon-Smith, Jacob Bedrossian

 
3:50 pm
-
5:30 pm
S 3 (4): Stochastic Analysis and S(P)DEs
Location: POT 151
Floor plan
Chair: Vitalii Konarovskyi
Chair: Aleksandra Zimmermann
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

A regularized Kellerer theorem in arbitrary dimension

Gudmund Pammer, Benjamin A. Robinson, Walter Schachermayer



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

On the weak representation property in progressively enlarged filtrations

Paolo Di Tella



4:40 pm - 5:05 pm

Limit Laws for Critical Dispersion on Complete Graphs

Umberto De Ambroggio, Tamás Makai, Konstantinos Panagiotou, Annika Steibel



5:05 pm - 5:30 pm

A Lévy-Itô decomposition for non-stationary processes on Lie groups

Anita Behme, Markus Riedle, Shend Thaqi

S 4 (5): Limit theorems, large deviations and extremes
Location: ZEU 160
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Nagel
Chair: Marco Oesting
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Poissonian pair correlations for dependent

Jasmin Fiedler



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Small-scale asymptotic structure of ordered uniform k-spacings

Andrii Ilienko



4:40 pm - 5:05 pm

An approximation for the quantiles of the maxima

Daniel Peer, Moritz Jirak



5:05 pm - 5:30 pm

Decay of correlations for the massless hierarchical Liouville model in infinite volume

Michael Hofstetter, Ofer Zeitouni

S 7 (8): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 51
Floor plan
Chair: Markus Bibinger
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Drift Parameter Estimation of Discretely Observed High-Dimensional Diffusion Processes.

Francisco Pina



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Testing the rank of the spot covariance matrix of a multidimensional semi-martingale

Janine Steck, Markus Reiß



4:40 pm - 5:05 pm

Adaptive Elastic-Net Estimation for Ergodic Diffusion Processes: oracle properties and non-asymptotic bounds

Francesco Iafrate



5:05 pm - 5:30 pm

Non-ergodic statistics for stationary-increment harmonizable stable processes

Ly Viet Hoang, Evgeny Spodarev

S 8 (6): Finance, insurance and risk: Modelling
Location: POT 361
Floor plan
Chair: Peter Hieber
Chair: Frank Seifried
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Competitive portfolio optimization via a value-at-risk based constraint

Tamara Göll, Nicole Bäuerle



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Multi-Agent and Mean Field Games for Optimal Investment under Relative Performance Concerns with Jump Signals

Gemma Lucia Sedrakjan, Peter Bank



4:40 pm - 5:05 pm

Multi-asset optimal trade execution in an Obizhaeva-Wang-type model

Julia Ackermann, Thomas Kruse, Mikhail Urusov

S 9 (1): Finance, insurance and risk: Quantitative methods
Location: POT 112
Floor plan
Chair: Nils-Christian Detering
Chair: Peter Ruckdeschel
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Pricing of geometric Asian options in the Volterra-Heston model

Sascha Desmettre, Florian Aichinger



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

A comparison principle based on couplings of partial integro-differential operators

Serena Della Corte, Fabian Fuchs, Richard Kraaij, Max Nendel



4:40 pm - 5:05 pm

Semi-static variance-optimal hedging with self-exciting jumps

Giorgia Callegaro, Paolo Di Tella, Beatrice Ongarato, Carlo Sgarra



5:05 pm - 5:30 pm

Optimal Execution Strategies in Short-Term Energy Markets under (Marked) Hawkes Processes

Konstantinos Chatziandreou, Asma Khedher, Sven Karbach

S10 (3): Stochastic optimization and operation research
Location: POT 13
Floor plan
Chair: Nikolaus Schweizer
Chair: Ralf Werner
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Probabilstic discrepancy bounds for different drawing strategies

Stefan Rogosinski



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Exponential convergence of general iterative proportional fitting procedures

Aziz Lakhal, Stephan Eckstein

S11 (2): Time series - Spectral Analysis and Limit Theorems
Location: POT 251
Floor plan
Chair: Marie Düker
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Evaluating Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis via Multiple Testing Error Rates

Maryam Movahedifar



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Trend estimation for time series with polynomial-tailed noise

Anne Leucht, Michael H. Neumann



4:40 pm - 5:05 pm

Asymptotics of peaks-over-threshold estimators in long memory linear time series

Ioan Scheffel, Marco Oesting, Gilles Stupfler



5:05 pm - 5:30 pm

Time-varying Lévy-driven state space models, locally stationary approximations and asymptotic normality

Robert Stelzer

S12 (3): Computational, functional and high-dimensional statistics
Location: ZEU 260
Floor plan
Chair: Martin Wahl
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Tracy-Widom, Gaussian, and Bootstrap: Approximations for Leading Eigenvalues in High-Dimensional PCA

Nina Dörnemann, Miles E. Lopes



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

AIC for many-regressor heteroskedastic regressions

Stanislav Anatolyev



4:40 pm - 5:05 pm

Identification in ill-posed linear regression: estimation rates, prediction risk, asymptotic distributions

Gianluca Finocchio, Tatyana Krivobokova

S13 (6): Nonparametric and asymptotic statistics
Location: ZEU 250
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Kreiss
Chair: Leonie Selk
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Statistical Inference for Rank Correlations

Marc-Oliver Pohle, Christian H. Weiß, Jan-Lukas Wermuth



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Quantifying and estimating dependence via sensitivity of conditional distributions

Sebastian Fuchs, Jonathan Ansari, Patrick Langthaler, Wolfgang Trutschnig



4:40 pm - 5:05 pm

Bootstrap Consistency and Normality of Chatterjee's Rank Correlation

Marius Kroll, Holger Dette



5:05 pm - 5:30 pm

A new dependence order for Chatterjee's rank correlation and related dependence measures

Jonathan Ansari, Sebastian Fuchs

 
4:40 pm
-
5:30 pm
S 1 Keynote: Machine Learning
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Merle Behr
 
4:40 pm - 5:30 pm

A primer on physics-informed machine learning

Gérard Biau

5:35 pm
-
6:15 pm
Förderpreise der FG Stochastik: Förderpreise der FG Stochastik: Preisverleihung und Vorträge der Preisträger:innen
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
6:15 pm
-
7:45 pm
General Assembly: Mitgliederversammlung der FG Stochastik
Location: POT 81
Floor plan

Date: Thursday, 13/Mar/2025
9:00 am
-
10:00 am
Plenary III
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: René Schilling
 
9:00 am - 10:00 am

Homogenization of jump processes in random media

Takashi Kumagai

10:00 am
-
10:30 am
Coffee Break
Location: Foyer Potthoff Bau
Floor plan
Coffee Break
Location: POT 168
Floor plan
 
10:30 am
-
11:20 am
S12 Keynote: Computational, functional and high-dimensional statistics
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Gertheiss
 
10:30 am - 11:20 am

Physics-Informed Statistical Learning

Laura M. Sangalli

10:30 am
-
12:10 pm
S 2 (5): Spatial stochastics, disordered media, and complex networks
Location: POT 251
Floor plan
Chair: Chinmoy Bhattacharjee
Chair: Benedikt Jahnel
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Strong limit theorems for empirical halfspace depth trimmed regions

Andrii Ilienko, Ilya Molchanov, Riccardo Turin



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Random Laguerre tessellations: Convergence of the $\beta$- Voronoi to the Poisson-Voronoi tessellation

Mathias in Wolde-Lübke, Anna Gusakova



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Stein's method for spatial random graphs

Dominic Schuhmacher, Leoni Carla Wirth



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Functional central limit theorems for stabilising functionals

Matthias Schulte, J. E. Yukich

S 3 (5): Stochastic Analysis and S(P)DEs
Location: POT 151
Floor plan
Chair: Vitalii Konarovskyi
Chair: Aleksandra Zimmermann
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Quantitative relative entropy estimates for interacting particle systems with common noise

Paul Nikolaev



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Weak well-posedness of energy solutions to singular SDEs with supercritical distributional drift

Lukas Johannes Gräfner, Nicolas Perkowski



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Reduced Inertial PDE models for Cucker-Smale flocking dynamics

Sebastian Zimper, Federico Cornalba, Natasa Djurdjevac Conrad, Ana Djurdjevac



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Time-Changed White Noise Calculus and its Malliavin-Watanabe Regularity Theory

Wolfgang Bock, Olfa Draouil

S 4 (6): Limit theorems, large deviations and extremes
Location: ZEU 160
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Nagel
Chair: Marco Oesting
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Extremal Process of Last Progeny Modified Branching Random Walks

Partha Pratim Ghosh, Bastien Mallein



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Central limit theorem for a random walk on Galton-Watson trees with random conductances

Tabea Glatzel, Jan Nagel



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Sums of i.i.d. random variables with exponential weights

Maximilian Strobel



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Law of Large Numbers and Central Limit Theorem for Ewens-Pitman Model

Claudia Contardi, Emanuele Dolera, Stefano Favaro

S 7 (9): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 51
Floor plan
Chair: Andreas Neuenkirch
Chair: Jakob Söhl
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Collisions in one-dimensional particle systems

Sergio Andraus, Nicole Hufnagel, Jacek Małecki



10:55 am - 11:20 am

The level of self-organized criticality in oscillating Brownian motion: stable limiting distribution theory for the MLE

Johannes Brutsche, Angelika Rohde



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Brownian motion conditioned to have restricted $L_2$-norm

Frank Aurzada, Mikhail Lifshits, Dominic Schickentanz



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Non-parametric estimation for linear SPDEs on arbitrary bounded domains based on discrete observations

Mathias Trabs

S 8 (7): Finance, insurance and risk: Modelling
Location: POT 361
Floor plan
Chair: Peter Hieber
Chair: Frank Seifried
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Representation theorems for convex expectations on path space

David Criens, Michael Kupper



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Global approximation theorem on the Wiener space via signatures

Mihriban Ceylan, David J. Prömel



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Representation property for 1d general diffusion semimartingales

David Criens, Mikhail Urusov



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

The fundamental theorem of weak optimal transport

Stefan Schrott

S 9 (2): is dropped
Location: POT 112
Floor plan
Chair: Nils-Christian Detering
Chair: Peter Ruckdeschel
S10 (4): Stochastic optimization and operation research
Location: POT 13
Floor plan
Chair: Nikolaus Schweizer
Chair: Ralf Werner
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

The oriented derivative in stochastic control

Alexander Kalinin



10:55 am - 11:20 am

The role of correlation in diffusion control ranking games

Stefan Ankirchner, Nabil Kazi-Tani, Julian Wendt



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Cost-Optimal management of a Standalone Micro-grid Equipped With Renewable Production and Battery

Paul Honore Takam



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Stochastic Optimal Control of Epidemics Under Partial Information

Ralf Wunderlich, Florent Ouabo Kamkumo, Ibrahim Mbouandi Njiasse

S11 (3): Time series - Functional and High-Dimensional Time Series
Location: POT 06
Floor plan
Chair: Martin Wendler
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

An operator-level GARCH Model

Alexander Aue, Sebastian Kühnert, Gregory Rice, Jeremy VanderDoes



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Towards a bootstrap uniform functional central limit theorem for nonstationary time series

Florian Alexander Scholze



11:20 am - 11:45 am

High-dimensional Gaussian linear processes: Marchenko-Pastur beyond simultaneous diagonalizability

Ben Deitmar

S13 (7): Nonparametric and asymptotic statistics
Location: ZEU 250
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Kreiss
Chair: Leonie Selk
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Efficient Estimation of a Gaussian Mean with Local Differential Privacy

Nikita P. Kalinin, Lukas Steinberger



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Quantum statistical inference under locally gentle measurements

Cristina Butucea, Jan Johannes, Henning Stein



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Estimation for the convolution of several multidimensional densities

Fabienne Comte, Bianca Neubert



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Minimax-optimal data-driven estimation in multiplicative inverse problems

Jan Johannes

12:10 pm
-
1:40 pm
Lunch
1:40 pm
-
2:30 pm
S11 (4): Time series - New Developments in Time Series Analysis
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Tim Manfred Kutta
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Artificial Neural Network small-sample-bias-corrections of the AR(1) parameter close to unit root

Haozhe Jiang, Ostap Okhrin, Michael Rockinger



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Nonparametric spectral density estimation under local differential privacy

Karolina Klockmann, Cristina Butucea, Tatyana Krivobokova

1:40 pm
-
3:20 pm
S 2 (6): Spatial stochastics, disordered media, and complex networks
Location: POT 251
Floor plan
Chair: Chinmoy Bhattacharjee
Chair: Benedikt Jahnel
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Multidimensional compound Poisson approximation for the Gilbert graph

Bernhard Hafer, Matthias Reitzner



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Poisson approximation for cycles in the generalised random graph

Matthias Lienau



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Rectangular Gilbert Tessellation

Emily Ewers, Tatyana Turova



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

Intersection processes of $k$-flats in hyperbolic space: New limits and convergence rates for observations in spherical windows

Tillmann Bühler, Daniel Hug

S 3 (6): Stochastic Analysis and S(P)DEs
Location: POT 151
Floor plan
Chair: Vitalii Konarovskyi
Chair: Aleksandra Zimmermann
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

A stochastic approach to time-dependent BEC

Luigi Marcello Borasi, Francesco Carlo de Vecchi, Stefania Ugolini



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

McKean—Vlasov SDEs: New results on existence of weak solutions and on propagation of chaos

Robert Alexander Crowell



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Mean-field stochastic differential equations with local interactions

Gevorg Adamyan, Ulrich Horst



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

Brownian Motion with Occupation Time Restrictions Outside a Compact Interval: Extreme Entropic Repulsion

Frank Aurzada, Martin Kolb, Dominic T. Schickentanz

S 4 (7): Limit theorems, large deviations and extremes
Location: ZEU 160
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Nagel
Chair: Marco Oesting
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Limit Theorems for Open Quantum Dynamics In A Random Environment

Lubashan Pathirana, Jeffery Schenker



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

On fluctuations of complexity measures for the QuickSelect algorithm

Jasper Ischebeck, Ralph Neininger



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Randomized Geodesic Flow on Hyperbolic Groups

Luzie Kupffer, Mahan Mj, Chiranjib Mukherjee



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

Limit Theorems for Multiscale Ergodic Diffusion Processes

Jaroslav I. Borodavka, Sebastian Krumscheid, Grigorios Pavliotis

S 7 (10): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 51
Floor plan
Chair: Mathias Trabs
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Persistence for Spherical Fractional Brownian Motion

Max Peter Helmer, Frank Aurzada



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Multivariate Fractional Brownian Motion: Correlation structure, statistics and applications to improve forecasting

Markus Bibinger, Michael Sonntag



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Sampling inverse subordinators and subdiffusions

Ivan Biočić, Daniel Eduardo Cedeño Girón, Bruno Toaldo



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

On a finite-velocity random motion related to a modified Euler-Poisson-Darboux equation

Barbara Martinucci, Serena Spina

S 8 (8): Finance, insurance and risk: Modelling
Location: POT 361
Floor plan
Chair: Peter Hieber
Chair: Frank Seifried
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Control of Drawdowns with Random Inspection

Kira Dudziak, Hanspeter Schmidli



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

On the Bailout Dividend Problem with Periodic Dividend Payments and Fixed Transaction Costs

Harold A. Moreno Franco, Jose-Luis Pérez



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Framework for asset-liability management with liquid and fixed-term assets

Yevhen Havrylenko

S 9 (3): Finance, insurance and risk: Quantitative methods
Location: POT 112
Floor plan
Chair: Nils-Christian Detering
Chair: Peter Ruckdeschel
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Practical Challenges of Interest Rate Model Calibration

Philipp Mahler



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Term structure shapes and their consistent dynamics in the Svensson family

Martin Keller-Ressel, Felix Sachse



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Efficient simulation and valuation of equity-indexed annuities under a two-factor G2++ model

Sascha Günther, Peter Hieber



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

Fast Bayesian calibration of option pricing models based on sequential Monte Carlo methods and deep learning

Riccardo Brignone, Luca Gonzato, Sven Knaust, Eva Lütkebohmert-Holtz

S10 (5): Stochastic optimization and operation research
Location: POT 13
Floor plan
Chair: Nikolaus Schweizer
Chair: Ralf Werner
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Common Noise by Random Measures: Mean-Field Equilibria for Competitive Investment and Hedging

Dirk Becherer, Stefanie Hesse



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Continuous-time Mean Field Markov Decision Models

Nicole Bäuerle, Sebastian Höfer



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

A mean field search game

Stefan Ankirchner, Sören Christensen, Dennis Dänzer



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

Mean-field analysis of a bipartite queueing model for threshold-based mobile edge computing

Kazuma Abe, Tuan Phung-Duc

S12 (4): Computational, functional and high-dimensional statistics
Location: ZEU 260
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Gertheiss
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

MULTIPLE CHANGE POINT DETECTION IN FUNCTIONAL DATA WITH APPLICATIONS TO BIOMECHANICAL FATIGUE DATA

Patrick Bastian, Rupsa Basu, Holger Dette



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Statistical inference for the error distribution in functional linear models

Natalie Neumeyer



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Testing for white noise in multivariate locally stationary functional time series

Lujia Bai, Weichi Wu, Holger Dette



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

A goodness-of-fit test for geometric Brownian motion

Daniel Gaigall, Philipp Wübbolding

S13 (8): Nonparametric and asymptotic statistics
Location: ZEU 250
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Kreiss
Chair: Leonie Selk
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Bootstrap-based Goodness-of-Fit Test for Parametric Families of Conditional Distributions

Gitte Kremling, Gerhard Dikta



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Tests of independence based on correlations

Robert Schlicht



2:30 pm - 2:55 pm

Goodness-of-fit testing based on graph functionals for homogeneous Erdös-Rényi graphs

Barbara Brune, Jonathan Flossdorf, Carsten Jentsch



2:55 pm - 3:20 pm

Bootstrap-based inference for pseudo-value regression models

Simon Mack, Dennis Dobler, Morten Overgaard

2:30 pm
-
3:20 pm
S11 Keynote: Time series
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Annika Betken
Chair: Marie Düker
 
2:30 pm - 3:20 pm

High-Dimensional Dynamic Pricing under Non-Stationarity: Learning and Earning with Change-Point Detection

Yi Yu

3:20 pm
-
3:50 pm
Coffee Break
Location: Foyer Potthoff Bau
Floor plan
Coffee Break
Location: POT 168
Floor plan
 
3:50 pm
-
4:40 pm
S 2 (7): Spatial stochastics, disordered media, and complex networks
Location: POT 251
Floor plan
Chair: Chinmoy Bhattacharjee
Chair: Benedikt Jahnel
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

A Gaussian approximation result for weakly dependent random fields using dependency graphs

Dennis Loboda



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Diffusion Means and their Relation to Intrinsic and Extrinsic Means

Benjamin Eltzner, Till Düsberg, Pernille Hansen, Stephan Huckemann, Stefan Sommer

S 3 (7): Stochastic Analysis and S(P)DEs
Location: POT 151
Floor plan
Chair: Vitalii Konarovskyi
Chair: Aleksandra Zimmermann
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Landau-Lifschitz-Navier-Stokes Equations: Large Deviations and Relationship to the Energy Equality

Benjamin Gess



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Asymptotic Exit Problems for a Singular Stochastic Reaction-Diffusion Equation

Ioannis Gasteratos, Tom Klose

S 4 (8): Limit theorems, large deviations and extremes
Location: ZEU 160
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Nagel
Chair: Marco Oesting
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Percolation and geometry of Cayley graphs

Chiranjib Mukherjee, Konstantin Recke



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Stein's Method for Networks

Adrian Fischer, Gesine Reinert, Tara Trauthwein

S 7 (11): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 51
Floor plan
Chair: Andreas Neuenkirch
Chair: Jakob Söhl
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Approximating nonlinear dynamics by low-dimensional linear SDEs

Christian Bayer, Martin Redmann



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Deep Operator BSDE: a Numerical Scheme to Approximate the Solution Operators

Pere Diaz Lozano, Giulia Di Nunno

S 8 Keynote: Finance, insurance and risk: Modelling
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Peter Hieber
Chair: Frank Seifried
 
3:50 pm - 4:40 pm

On optimality criteria for dynamic investment and their connections

Nicole Bäuerle

S 9 (4): Finance, insurance and risk: Quantitative methods
Location: POT 112
Floor plan
Chair: Nils-Christian Detering
Chair: Peter Ruckdeschel
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

A network approach to macroprudential buffers

Yuliang Zhang



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Computing Systemic Risk Measures with Graph Neural Networks

Lukas Gonon, Thilo Meyer-Brandis, Niklas Weber

S10 (6): Stochastic optimization and operation research
Location: POT 13
Floor plan
Chair: Nikolaus Schweizer
Chair: Ralf Werner
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

Stationary Mean-Field Games of Singular Control under Knightian Uncertainty

Ioannis Tzouanas, Giorgio Ferrari



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Existence of Bayesian Equilibria in Incomplete Information Games Without Common Priors

Denis Kojevnikov, Kyungchul Song

S13 (9): Nonparametric and asymptotic statistics
Location: ZEU 250
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Kreiss
Chair: Leonie Selk
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

The Weak Feature Impact Scenario and its Effects on Monotone Binary Regression

Dario Kieffer, Angelika Rohde



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

Approximation by totally positive distributions

Philip Stange, Lutz Dümbgen

S14 (1): History of Probability and Statistics
Location: POT 361
Floor plan
Chair: Hans Fischer
Chair: Tilman Sauer
Chair: René Schilling
 
3:50 pm - 4:15 pm

The first 20 years of Brownian Motion (1905 - 1925)

René Schilling



4:15 pm - 4:40 pm

The "Bernstein-von-Mises Theorem": historical aspects

Hans Fischer

4:50 pm
-
5:50 pm
Plenary IV
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Mathias Trabs
 
4:50 pm - 5:50 pm

Bayesian estimation in high dimensional Hawkes processes

Judith Rousseau

7:00 pm
-
10:00 pm
Conference Dinner
Location: Carolaschlösschen
Floor plan

Date: Friday, 14/Mar/2025
9:00 am
-
10:00 am
Plenary LT: Plenary Lehrkräftetag
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Andrea Hoffkamp
 
9:00 am - 10:00 am

(Angewandte) Statistik – was ist das?

Thomas Skill

10:00 am
-
10:30 am
Coffee Break
Location: Foyer Potthoff Bau
Floor plan
Coffee Break
Location: POT 168
Floor plan
 
10:30 am
-
11:20 am
S14 Keynote: History of Probability and Statistics
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Hans Fischer
Chair: Tilman Sauer
Chair: René Schilling
 
10:30 am - 11:20 am

Richard von Mises, the forgotten Bayesian

Glenn Ray Shafer

10:30 am
-
12:10 pm
S 2 (8): Spatial stochastics, disordered media, and complex networks
Location: POT 251
Floor plan
Chair: Chinmoy Bhattacharjee
Chair: Benedikt Jahnel
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

On the chaos expansion for a Dirichlet process

Günter Last, Babette Picker



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Transports of Stationary Random Measures: Asymptotic Variance, Hyperuniformity, and Examples

Luca Lotz, Michael Andreas Klatt, Günter Last, D. Yogeshwaran



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Hierarchical cubes: Gibbs measures and decay of correlations

Jan Philipp Neumann, Sabine Jansen



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Lifschitz tail for long-range alloy-type models with Levy operators

Katarzyna Pietruska-Paluba, Kamil Kaleta

S 3 (8): Stochastic Analysis and S(P)DEs
Location: POT 151
Floor plan
Chair: Vitalii Konarovskyi
Chair: Aleksandra Zimmermann
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Invariant submanifolds for solutions to rough differential equations

Stefan Tappe



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Rough backward SDEs of Marcus-type with discontinuous Young drivers

Yuchen Sun, Dirk Becherer



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Pathwise convergence of the Euler scheme for rough and stochastic differential equations

Andrew L. Allan, Anna P. Kwossek, Chong Liu, David J. Prömel



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Rough Functional It\^o Formula

Franziska Bielert

S 4 (9): Limit theorems, large deviations and extremes
Location: ZEU 160
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Nagel
Chair: Marco Oesting
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Asymptotic theory of Schatten classes

Michael Juhos, Zakhar Kabluchko, Joscha Prochno



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Limit theorems for the volume of random projections and sections of $\ell_p^N$-balls

Philipp Tuchel, Christoph Thäle, Joscha Prochno



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Concentration inequalities for Poisson $U$-statistics

Gilles Bonnet, Anna Gusakova



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Large deviation principle for binomial Gibbs processes

Martina Petráková, Christian Hirsch

S 7 (12): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 51
Floor plan
Chair: Vitalii Golomoziy
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Estimates of kernels and ground states for Schrödinger semigroups

Miłosz Baraniewicz



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Progressive intrinsic ultracontractivity and ergodicity properties of discrete Feynman-Kac semigroups and related operators

Mateusz Kornel Śliwiński



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Intrinsic ultracontractivity of Feynman-Kac semigroups for cylindrical stable processes

Kinga Sztonyk



11:45 am - 12:15 pm

Kato bounded Harnack inequality for Schrödinger operators on manifolds

Robert Baumgarth

S 9 (5): Finance, insurance and risk: Quantitative methods
Location: POT 112
Floor plan
Chair: Nils-Christian Detering
Chair: Peter Ruckdeschel
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Shrinking the Covariance Matrix: A Portfolio Perspective

Nathan Lassance, Rodolphe Vanderveken, Frédéric Vrins



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Over-confidence and subjective mortality beliefs in pooled annuity funds

Peter Hieber, An Chen, Manuel Rach



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Thin-thick approach to martingale representations on progressively enlarged filtrations

Antonella Calzolari, Torti Barbara



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Forecasting Agricultural Financial Risk Using Singular Spectrum Analysis: Case Study of Rainfall and Paddy Rice Crops in Indonesia

Rana Amani Desenaldo, Joern Sass

S10 (7): Stochastic optimization and operation research
Location: POT 13
Floor plan
Chair: Nikolaus Schweizer
Chair: Ralf Werner
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

An optimal multibarrier strategy for a singular stochastic control problem with a state-dependent reward

Mauricio Junca, Harold A. Moreno Franco, Jose-Luis Pérez



10:55 am - 11:20 am

An Analytic Characterisation of Markov Perfect Equilibria in Stochastic Timing Games

E. Emanuel Rapsch, Christoph Knochenhauer



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Stochastic Modeling and Optimal Control of an Industrial Energy System

Eric Pilling, Ralf Wunderlich, Martin Bähr

S11 (5): Time series - Ordinal Pattern and Discrete Time Series
Location: POT 06
Floor plan
Chair: Annika Betken
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Classes of multivariate motion patterns and applications to environmental data

Alexander Schnurr, Svenja Fischer, Marco Oesting



10:55 am - 11:20 am

The Symbolic Correlation Integral: Measuring Complexity in Short-range Dependent Time Series.

Alexander Schnurr, Angelika Silbernagel, Manuel Ruiz Marin



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Weighted Discrete ARMA Models for Categorical Time Series

Christian H. Weiß, Osama Swidan



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Predictive inference for discrete-valued time series

Maxime Faymonville, Carsten Jentsch, Efstathios Paparoditis

S12 (5): Computational, functional and high-dimensional statistics
Location: ZEU 260
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Gertheiss
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

A Statistical Method for Anomaly Detection in Multivariate EEG Time Series

Duc Nguyen, Evgeny Spodarev



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Exact Representation for Product of Two Normals via Non-Central Chi-Square Distribution

Alper Ali Hekimoglu, Bilgi Yilmaz, Burak Alparslan Eroglu



11:20 am - 11:45 am

On the Stress-Strength Models for the Dagum Distribution under Adaptive Type-II Progressively Hybrid Censoring

Reza Pakyari

S13 (10): Nonparametric and asymptotic statistics
Location: ZEU 250
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Kreiss
Chair: Leonie Selk
 
10:30 am - 10:55 am

Bayesian nonparametric estimation and inference using optimal transport divergences

Paul Navas



10:55 am - 11:20 am

Decompounding under general mixing distributions

Denis Belomestny, Ekaterina Morozova, Vladimir Panov



11:20 am - 11:45 am

Statistical Optimal Transport 
and its Entropic Regularization: Compared and Contrasted

Shayan Hundrieser



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Distributional convergence of empirical entropic optimal transport and applications

Santiago Arenas Velilla, Axel Munk, Luis Alberto Rodríguez Ramírez

11:20 am
-
12:10 pm
S14 (2): History of Probability and Statistics
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Hans Fischer
Chair: Tilman Sauer
Chair: René Schilling
 
11:20 am - 11:45 am

Leibniz on the Problem of Points (1676–78)

Achim Trunk



11:45 am - 12:10 pm

Some elements for a (pre)history of martingales

Laurent Mazliak

12:10 pm
-
1:40 pm
Lunch
1:40 pm
-
2:30 pm
S 2 (9): Spatial stochastics, disordered media, and complex networks
Location: POT 251
Floor plan
Chair: Chinmoy Bhattacharjee
Chair: Benedikt Jahnel
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Power-like divergence of the diameter of the transition front of the solution to the F-KPP equation in heterogeneous medium

Pascal Hanigk, Lisa Hartung, Alexander Drewitz



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

On Random Simplex Picking

Dominik Beck

S 3 (9): is dropped
Location: POT 151
Floor plan
Chair: Vitalii Konarovskyi
Chair: Aleksandra Zimmermann
S 4 Keynote: Limit theorems, large deviations and extremes
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Jan Nagel
Chair: Marco Oesting
 
1:40 pm - 2:30 pm

Normal and α-stable convergence in weight-dependent random connection models

Christian Hirsch

S 7 (13): Stochastic processes: theory, statistics and numerics
Location: POT 51
Floor plan
Chair: Andreas Neuenkirch
Chair: Jakob Söhl
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Quasi-infinitely divisible distributions

Alexander Lindner



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Divisibility of probability measures

David Berger

S10 (8): Stochastic optimization and operation research
Location: POT 13
Floor plan
Chair: Nikolaus Schweizer
Chair: Ralf Werner
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Alternative Transient Solutions for M/G/1 System with Multiple Server Vacations

Nino Svanidze, Ramaz Khurodze, Revaz Kakubava



2:05 pm - 2:30 pm

Optimal sequential sampling for attributive tests at consecutive times

Hugalf Bernburg, Katy Klauenberg, Stefan Ankirchner

S13 (11): Nonparametric and asymptotic statistics
Location: ZEU 250
Floor plan
Chair: Alexander Kreiss
Chair: Leonie Selk
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Nonparametric isotropy test for spatial point processes using random rotations

Chiara Fend, Claudia Redenbach

S14 (3): History of Probability and Statistics
Location: POT 361
Floor plan
Chair: Hans Fischer
Chair: Tilman Sauer
Chair: René Schilling
 
1:40 pm - 2:05 pm

Early Visualizations of Electron Probability Densities

Tilman Sauer, Kristin Sellmann

   
2:40 pm
-
3:40 pm
Plenary V
Location: POT 81
Floor plan
Chair: Anita Behme
 
2:40 pm - 3:40 pm

Random walks in dynamical random environments

Nina Gantert

3:40 pm
-
4:00 pm
Closing
Location: POT 81
Floor plan