Conference Agenda
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 15th Sept 2026, 08:45:30am CEST
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Daily Overview |
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CF 14: Private Capital Markets
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ID: 1754
The Outsized Role of Tax Havens in Mergers and Acquisitions 1: University of Texas at Dallas; 2: Securities and Exchange Commission; 3: University of Münster, Germany Using two novel datasets and a more comprehensive sample, we document a new stylized fact: tax havens play a major role in mergers and acquisitions (M&A). Cross-border M&A involving either an acquiror or a target from a haven accounts for 29.7% of cross-border M&A volume, or 11.1% of all M&A activity. We investigate 20,360 such transactions from 1990 to 2023, valued at $8.3 trillion. $4.6 of the $8.3 trillion is classified as “abnormal” activity based on a gravity model with economic fundamentals. Small havens alone account for $2.4 trillion, or 8.5% of cross-border M&A volume (e.g., Bermuda, the Cayman Islands).
ID: 585
Tax Avoidance Costs and Corporate Investment: Evidence from Offshore Data Leaks 1: Paris Dauphine - PSL, France; 2: Universitat Pompeu Fabra We study whether increases in the cost of tax avoidance affect corporate investment. Tax avoidance can raise investment not only by lowering effective tax rates, but also by preserving internal funds that firms can use when external finance is costly. Identifying this channel is difficult because tax reforms typically change both statutory tax rates and incentives to avoid taxes. We exploit offshore data leaks as firm-specific shocks to the cost of avoidance that do not change statutory tax rates. We link the ICIJ Offshore Leaks Database to Orbis Europe and identify exposed private firms across 12 European countries. Using a staggered difference-in-differences design, we find that exposed firms reduce investment after the leaks. The decline is concentrated among firms for which internal funds are likely to have high shadow value: smaller firms, younger firms, firms without prior long-term debt relationships, and lower-productivity firms. Exposed firms also experience deteriorating operating cash flows and pre-tax profits. We find no evidence that the effects are driven by product-market penalties or credit supply shocks. The evidence shows that increases in avoidance costs can reduce real investment by tightening firms’ internal financing capacity, even when statutory tax rates and credit conditions do not change.
ID: 1946
Investor Expertise and Private Investment Selection 1: Stockholm School of Economics, Sweden; 2: Columbia University; 3: University of Michigan We conduct a survey experiment presenting identical venture capital fund profiles to professional and individual investors. The two groups evaluate funds very differently. Professional investors weight track records heavily and avoid first-time funds. Individual investors ignore past performance, focusing instead on educational credentials and location. Using a risk-averse benchmark model calibrated to historical VC returns, we show that professional investors' preferences align with past VC performance while individual investors' selections deviate substantially. A follow-up experiment isolates two mechanisms: informing individuals that VC performance persists increases their track record sensitivity by 12.5 percentage points, and assuring equal access to top-performing funds increases sensitivity by 9.9 percentage points. Both channels operate independently, with information appearing somewhat more important. These selection differences have meaningful consequences. We estimate that selection alone could reduce individual investor returns by approximately 12\%, accounting for roughly 20\% of the performance gap with professionals. Observational data confirm that funds with more individual investors have worse exit outcomes and weaker performance persistence. These results indicate that selection, not just access, would likely shape individual investor outcomes in private markets.
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