Conference Agenda
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 15th Sept 2026, 08:43:05am CEST
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Daily Overview |
| Session | |
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CF 09: Mergers & Acquisitions Location: LR M1.2 (Floor 1) Session Chair: Henri Servaes, London Business School | |
| Presentation 1 | |
ID: 506
The Real Effects of Valuation Mistakes: Estimates from Mergers and Acquisitions 1: HEC Paris, France; 2: University of Bern We explore how biased investors affect the market for real assets and estimate the resulting efficiency losses. Investors subject to non-proportional thinking ask (too) high merger premia to sell low-price targets and offer (too) low merger premia to buy high-price targets. As a result, M&A premia are lower for high-price targets and both low- and high-price firms are less likely to be acquired than firms in the middle of the price distribution. We test these predictions using a large sample of M&A transactions. We also quantify the value lost because positive-synergy deals do not happen due to non-proportional thinking. Our structural estimation suggests that investors’ mistakes reduce the frequency of M&A transactions by about 8% and the value created by the M&A market by about 6%.
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