Conference Agenda
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 15th Sept 2026, 08:45:31am CEST
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Daily Overview |
| Session | |
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FI 04: Monetary Policy and Bank Lending Location: LR M0.2 (Floor 0) Session Chair: Jose-Luis Peydro, LUISS and EIEF | |
| Presentation 3 | |
ID: 2077
Loan Spreads and Interest Rates: The Role of The Deposit Channel and Lending Market Power 1: London School of Economics and Political Science; 2: NBER; 3: Bank of England We present evidence that loan spreads earned by banks over marketable interest rates are inversely related to the level of short-term interest rates. Using loan-level data on business lending in France, we rule out demand-side explanations and demonstrate that this negative correlation aligns with a supply-side narrative: banks with larger loan spreads when interest rates decline experience lower growth in credit volumes. We provide empirical support for theories linking frictions in the deposit-taking business to the lending behavior of financially constrained banks. Our evidence is consistent with lower interest rates compressing deposit spreads for banks that remunerate deposits below market rates, which reduces their net interest margins, weakens their balance sheets, and prompts constrained banks to reduce credit supply, thereby contributing to the observed rise in loan spreads. Additionally, we find evidence for a complementary channel: lending market power. In particular, lenders with higher market shares and borrowers facing a more severe “hold-up problem” are associated with a lower interest rate pass-through. Finally, we document real effects on corporate financing and investment for firms borrowing from banks with reduced pass-through.
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