Conference Agenda
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 27th June 2025, 10:29:11pm CEST
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Session Overview |
Session | |||
SF 05: Climate Change Risk Pricing
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Presentations | |||
ID: 857
International Climate News 1Bocconi University; 2UNC Chapel Hill; 3Shanghai Jiao Tong University We develop novel high-frequency indices that measure climate attention across a wide range of developed and emerging economies. By analyzing the text of over 23 million Tweets published by leading national newspapers, we find that a country experiencing more severe climate news shocks tends to see both an inflow of capital and an appreciation of its currency. In addition, brown stocks experience large and persistent negative returns after a global climate news shock if located in highly exposed countries. A risk-sharing model in which investors price climate news shocks and trade consumption and investment goods in global markets rationalizes these findings.
ID: 1330
Understanding the Pricing of Carbon Emissions: New Evidence from the Stock Market 1Federal Reserve Bank of New York; 2Federal Reserve Board; 3Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Are carbon emissions priced in equity markets? The literature is split with different approaches yielding conflicting results. We develop a stylized model showing that, if emissions is a priced characteristic in equity markets, stock returns depend on expected emissions and the product of the innovation in emissions and the price-dividend ratio. Building on this insight, we derive and test new predictions. We find that emissions are priced in equity markets, but the magnitude of such pricing depends on how ``super emitters'' (mostly firms operating in electric power generation) are modeled. Our theoretical insight also helps reconcile seemingly divergent results in the literature.
ID: 2125
Beyond the Storm: Climate Risk and Homeowners' Insurance 1Indiana University; 2University of South Florida Using detailed policy-level data and natural disasters as our setting, we document that insurers pass on climate risk costs to policyholders through both premiums and claim rejection rates. Premiums increase significantly in both disaster-affected and unaffected areas following disaster events, while rejection rates rise only in unaffected areas. Spillover effects are heterogeneous and depend on consumers' price sensitivity: consistent with price shrouding, less price-sensitive consumers in unaffected areas face higher premiums, while more price-sensitive consumers bear the costs through increased rejection rates. These effects are further shaped by insurers' financial constraints. During constrained periods, insurers raise premiums in both affected and unaffected areas, whereas during unconstrained periods, they primarily increase rejection rates in unaffected areas. Our findings demonstrate that climate risk has contributed to rising premiums over the past two decades and reveal how insurers’ responses redistribute costs and access, impacting homeowners in both high-risk and low-risk areas.
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