Conference Agenda

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 27th June 2025, 10:00:12pm CEST

 
 
Session Overview
Session
MM 03: Segmentation, Manipulation, and Races in Financial Markets
Time:
Friday, 22/Aug/2025:
2:00pm - 3:30pm

Session Chair: Albert Menkveld, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Location: 2.007-2.008 (Floor 2)


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Presentations
ID: 118

Mixology: Order flow segmentation design

Joshua Mollner

Northwestern University, Kellogg School of Management, United States of America

Discussant: Vincent Fardeau (NRU Higher School of Economics)

I analyze the welfare consequences of segmentation in financial markets. Venues vary in their mixture of information-motivated versus liquidity-motivated order flow. In a simple model, I consider the combinations of information-motivated investor welfare and liquidity-motivated investor welfare that can be achieved by some segmentation. This set’s Pareto frontier can (under certain conditions) be implemented by a simple class of segmentations, in which a fraction of information-motivated flow is segregated, while the remainder pools with liquidity-motivated flow. These results call into question the wisdom of the current regulatory framework as it applies to segmentation, e.g., in U.S. equities.

EFA2025_118_MM 03_Mixology.pdf


ID: 1279

Manipulating Algorithmic Markets

Pedro Tremacoldi-Rossi

Columbia University, United States of America

Discussant: Basil Williams (Imperial College London)

This paper develops a new methodology for causal price impact in high-frequency financial markets to study a widespread form of market manipulation and its consequences. I identify directly from data when a trader takes both sides of the same transaction but instead of letting orders cross uses a compliance tool to prevent legal exposure. This functionality is offered by every major exchange and in US futures markets its default use option allows the tool to be exploited strategically. This form of self-trading can effectively signal demand at artificial prices and result in disproportionate liquidity removal from markets. I introduce a source of variation that generates systematic differences in information exposure to traders. This leverages an institutional feature of electronic limit order books where as-good-as random delays between when a trade happens and the market learns about it can be used to assign treatment. By comparing trades occurring almost at the same time facing an identical information set, except for the news about a reference trade, I implement an empirical approach that estimates dynamic responses robust to microstructure noise and confounders. My findings show that self-trading successfully moves prices in the direction that benefits the trader, both by making liquidity providers revise quotes and enticing others to trade. I then use these estimates to quantify the role of self-trading in flash events: brief moments of substantial price increases or declines. Using a causal attribution framework, I separate information shocks — price adjustments based on news — from manipulative price impact to be able to assess the role of each factor individually and in combination. I find that almost 10% of flash events in US futures markets are driven by attracting others to trade in the direction consistent with profitable self-trading.

EFA2025_1279_MM 03_Manipulating Algorithmic Markets.pdf


ID: 1659

Measuring public and private information using quote and trade races

James Brugler1, Terrence Hendershott2

1University of Melbourne, Australia; 2Haas School of Business, University of California

Discussant: Björn Hagströmer (Stockholm University)

In financial markets, traders race to react first to new public information. We identify races on public information via different traders placing identical orders at the same time. The price impact of races is greater, but most price discovery occurs in non-races, as races are only 15-20% of trades and quotes. High-frequency traders race, but only half of their price discovery occurs in races. Not accounting for races leads to private information being underestimated in trades and overestimated in quotes. Finally, data on unfilled orders is more important in studying races than order-level trader identification.

EFA2025_1659_MM 03_Measuring public and private information using quote and trade races.pdf


 
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