Conference Agenda

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 9th May 2025, 04:50:49pm CEST

 
 
Session Overview
Session
AP 20: Monetary policy and safe assets
Time:
Saturday, 24/Aug/2024:
11:00am - 12:30pm

Session Chair: Dejanir Silva, Purdue University
Session Chair: Paymon Khorrami, Duke University
Location: Reduta | Columned Hall (floor 1)


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Presentations
ID: 1825

Central Bank Swap Lines: Micro-Level Evidence

Gerardo Ferrara2, Philippe Mueller1, Ganesh Viswanath Natraj1, Junxuan Wang3

1University of Warwick, Warwick Business School; 2Bank of England; 3University of Cambridge, Judge Business School

Discussant: Gabor Pinter (Bank of England)

This paper investigates the impact of central bank swap lines during the 2020 pandemic using micro-level data. Institutions relying on these swap lines tend to be better capitalized due to stringent collateral requirements. Combining data on FX derivative contracts with dealers that draw on USD swap lines at the Bank of England, we find that swap line participants engage in more favorable pricing of forward contracts, reduce their gross outstanding FX exposures, and increase their net supply of USD forwards to non-financial institutions. Our findings support the use of swap lines in reducing FX market mispricing and providing cross-border liquidity.

EFA2024_1825_AP 20_Central Bank Swap Lines.pdf


ID: 1899

Quantitative Easing and the Supply of Safe Assets: Evidence from International Bond Safety Premia

Jens H Christensen1, Nikola Mirkov2, Xin Zhang3

1Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, United States of America; 2ITAM; 3Sveriges RIksbank

Discussant: Veronica De Falco (Harvard University)

Through large-scale asset purchases, widely known as quantitative easing (QE), central banks around the world have affected the supply of safe assets by buying quasi-safe bonds in exchange for truly safe reserves. We examine the pricing effects of the European Central Bank's bond purchases in the 2015-2021 period on an international panel of bond safety premia from four highly rated countries: Denmark, Germany, Sweden, and Switzerland. We find statistically significant negative effects for all four countries. This points to an important international spillover channel of QE programs to bond safety premia that operates by increasing the outstanding amount of truly safe assets.

EFA2024_1899_AP 20_Quantitative Easing and the Supply of Safe Assets.pdf


ID: 758

Assortative Matching, Interbank Markets, and Monetary Policy

Rustam Jamilov1, Christian Bittner2, Farzad Saidi3

1University of Oxford, United Kingdom; 2Deutsche Bundesbank and Goethe University Frankfurt; 3University of Bonn and CEPR

Discussant: Yi Li (Federal Reserve Board)

We develop a quantitative macroeconomic framework with heterogeneous financial intermediaries and active liquidity management. In the model, banks manage uninsured, idiosyncratic deposit withdrawal risk through an iterative over-the-counter interbank market, which generates a network-like structure with endogenous intensive and extensive margins and results in equilibrium assortative matching based on balance sheet size. We validate our framework using administrative data from Germany that encompasses the entire universe of bank-to-bank loan exposures. Our findings strongly support the presence of assortative matching in the data, thereby confirming the model's key mechanism. We show that assortative matching is inefficient: it leads to reduced trading volumes and a broader region of inaction in the interbank market, a smaller and riskier banking sector, and a macroeconomy that is characterized by lower aggregate output and consumption. Using our empirically validated framework, we explore secular trends in interbank trading, the roles of liquidity and interest rate corridor policies, and the impact of deposit market power.

EFA2024_758_AP 20_Assortative Matching, Interbank Markets, and Monetary Policy.pdf


 
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