Conference Agenda

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 9th May 2025, 04:19:56pm CEST

 
 
Session Overview
Session
HF 05: Housing and mortgage decisions
Time:
Saturday, 24/Aug/2024:
9:00am - 10:30am

Session Chair: Francisco Gomes, London Business School
Location: Reduta | Choir Room (via courtyard, floor 2)


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Presentations
ID: 1610

Mortgage Refinancing during Tightening Monetary Policy: Evidence from the United Kingdom

Philippe Bracke2, Joao Cocco1, Elena Markoska2, Purnoor Tak1

1London Business School, United Kingdom; 2Bank of England

Discussant: Lu Liu (University of Pennsylvania)

We study the mortgage refinancing behavior of UK households during the recent period of monetary tightening, exploiting the large unanticipated increase in interest rates that resulted from the September 2022 mini-budget announcement. We uncover large effects in the choice of interest rate fixation term, with an increasing proportion of borrowers opting for loans with shorter fixation terms that offer greater flexibility. Fewer borrowers switch lenders when refinancing. Both loan amounts and repayment terms decrease on average, contributing to household deleveraging. Our results have implications for monetary policy transmission.

EFA2024_1610_HF 05_Mortgage Refinancing during Tightening Monetary Policy.pdf


ID: 1979

Housing and Portfolio Choice over the Wealth Distribution

Zoltan Racz

Stockholm School of Economics, Sweden

Discussant: Laurent Bach (ESSEC Business School)

Why do the rich take more financial risk and hence earn a higher return on their portfolios on average? In this paper, I argue that understanding the interdependence of optimal housing decisions, debt taking and portfolio allocation over the wealth distribution is key to explaining this robust empirical pattern. As apart from being a means of investment, housing also serves as a consumption good, households with a lower financial wealth to human capital ratio optimally choose a higher share of housing out of wealth. On the one hand, this implies that for relatively wealth-poor homeowners risky liquid assets are mechanically crowded out from their portfolio. Second, since this mechanism also makes poorer households optimally more leveraged, the effects are magnified by the wedge between borrowing and lending rates: if the interest rate on debt is higher, indebted households effectively face a lower risk premium, and thus are provided with lower incentives to hold risky assets. Calibrating a rich life-cycle model to the saving and home ownership profiles over age in Swedish administrative data I find that these mechanisms enable matching the increasing risky share pattern over the wealth distribution. I decompose the effect of different channels and also show that the model predicts a higher marginal propensity of stock investments for the rich.

EFA2024_1979_HF 05_Housing and Portfolio Choice over the Wealth Distribution.pdf


 
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